So a lot of you will know that I regularly post guides and tips about match betting, However since the same questions always come up in the comments, I decided to make one big, very thorough Mega Guide in order to eliminate as many doubts as possible for you guys. Like I said before, This guide is a handy way to sort out a month's rent for 5 or 6 hours work, so I really hope it can be of use to someone. Anyway, Here it is:
PART 1: MATCH BETTING EXPLAINED; HOW TO MAKE £500 IN 5/6 HOURS
Having done my research and having been able to turn a really nice profit in such a short time, I wanted to make a short guide to eliminate people's doubts and simplify things a little. Since it really doesn't take a lot of time to hit that £500 profit mark, it's a shame not to try it out. Anyway, Here it goes:
I was sceptical as hell about Match betting because a friend showed me the Facebook groups and it just looked like a giant gambling pyramid scheme. It turns out there is a decent chunk of change to be made from it, you just need to follow the guides and never ever actually gamble with your money.
Never ever Gamble? Yes That's right, you are going to be using Gambling sites to complete the various offers, but the whole idea behind match betting is that every time you "make a bet", you match that same bet on the exchange. So for example, if I bet £10 for Real Madrid to Win on the Bookie Site at odds of 2.5, I then also make a Matched bet on the Exchange (This is a separate site such as Smarkets or Betfair) where I bet for Real Madrid not to win at odds of 2.5 (or as close as I can get to those odds). In this way I am covered in all outcomes, and it allows me to fulfill the requirements of the bookies offer (For example Bet £10 and get £30 in Free bets)
What's the difference between the Bookie Site and the Exchange? On the Exchange Site you are basically being the Bookie and just like a Bookie, you have liability. If I bet £10 and my bet wins at odds of 2.5 then I win £25, so the bookies liability for this bet is £15, the extra money that they would have to give me if I win. There are calculators on the Match betting sites which you can use to calculate what Liability you need to enter on the exchange each time you make your matched bet. There is also software to help you find what games have the closest odds on both the bookies and the exchange, which is very important.
What do I do when I get my free bets? It's the same process again, You find a game that has very close odds on both the bookies and the exchange ( You can do this by eye or by using odds matching software. A good site with this software is called OddsMonkey). Only this time when you use the calculator to work out your liability, you will set it to "Free bets SNR" so it knows you are not using real money. It will tell you how much Liability to use in the exchange and off you go.
How does this make me money? The fact that you have a free bet to use is what makes you money, For example a £30 free bet at odds of 5.5 in the bookies will win you £135 (30x 4.5, because the original free bet stake of £30 is not returned to you). Now let's say that the closest odds I can find in the Exchange for the same game are 6.0, I will need a liability of £112.50 to match my free bet in the bookies ( I use the calculator on oddsmonkey to work this out)
£135- 112.50 = £22.50 in Profit.
Alternatively if my bet on the exchange wins, I will lose the free bet of £30 (but it's not actually a loss to me because It's not real money) and I will win £22.50 on the exchange. Either way, I make a Profit of £22.50
What about providing card details? You can use a separate, virtual bank account for all your match betting, In this way your main banking information is not shared with any of the sites you sign up to. A good one to use is Monzo, the app is easy to use and it only takes 5 minutes to open an account. It's free to open an account and last I checked they actually have a referral scheme where you get £5 if you sign up through a referral link.
Non Referral here: https://monzo.com/
Where can I learn to do it? There are some sites that you have to pay a monthly subscription to but I found one called Team Profit that is free and has a full guide of all the different offers you can complete.
I worked my way down through the list of offers, nice and handy, and having completed 20 offers at 15 minutes per offer, I came out at £470 for 5 hours total of work.
If you are new to this site and are opening a free account I would really appreciate if you use my Referral (£10)
Here is the non referral link to the page with all the offers: https://www.teamprofit.com/welcome-offers-list
TLDR: You do not need to "gamble" to match bet, in fact by definition, the bet you make is "matched" on the exchange, so it is not a gamble in any sense.

PART 2: MAKING £500-£1000 EVERY MONTH.
You may sometimes see people commenting saying they have made a lot more money since finishing the welcome offers, £1000-£1500 a month and such, but never saying exactly how...
Personally I have made a lot more profit every month since I finished the welcome offers, Usually around the £1000 per month mark.
People say that Match betting drys up once you finish the welcome offers but this is simply not true, it's a matter of being more organised and checking your email for new offers, while also checking the Reload Offers section on Team Profit every morning (Takes literally 5 minutes)
Below is an Example from last month where I made £300 in one week. Bare in mind that the amount you make weekly will vary with the amount of sport that is on, but as long as there's sport, you will always be able to earn. This example is simply to show you the potential Match Betting has long after you've completed the Welcome offers:
Here's exactly how I did it:
Coral: Money back as a free bet up to £50 if your team is ahead in the first half but doesn't win the match in the end: Matched 5 Premier League games, 3 were successful. I received three £50 free bets which I matched and turned into £130 profit risk free. £130 in 30 minutes
William Hill: Money Back as Cash if your horse comes 2nd- 2 of the 6 horses I matched came 2nd, I was also able to make a profit by just matching the bets because my odds were higher on the bookies side by using the Happy Hour odds (between 12pm-1pm, 3 horses with enhanced odds) and also the 3 daily bet boosts on Horse raising( to boost my odds on another 3 horses). £20 in 5 minutes
Paddy Power: Money Back up to £10 if Horse comes 2nd 3rd or 4th, Matched the horse with the lowest odds and sure enough it came 3rd, got my £10 free bet. £8 in 3 minutes
Skybet: Money Back as cash up to £10 if Horse comes 2nd 3rd or 4th, Matched the horse with the lowest odds and sure enough it came 3rd, got my £10. £9.50 in 3 minutes
Skybet: Wednesday Super odds: Matched the three super odds on the exchange and due to the difference in odds (If the odds on the bookies are greater than those for same bet on the exchange you are automatically profiting). £10 in 3 minutes
Boylesports: £10 Free bet if your bet loses(Premier League Match): £8 in 3 minutes
Paddy Power 2up: An offer where you get paid out early if your time goes up by 2 goals, the profit varies depending on what the odds on the exchange are when you back the team you orignally lay against, but this offer can make you a lot of profit (You will need to download the team profit calculator app and use the early payout calculator). Last week it Made me £35. £35 in 5 minutes
Novibet: Deposit £100 and get a £50 free bet. Very easy because you just have to deposit the money, get your free bet, withdraw your £100 straight away, then match the free bet on the exchange. £40 in 5 minutes
Coral: Bet 3x £5 in play and get a £5 free bet-Availble everyday. Just match these at half time so the odds are stable, Make sure you also place mug bets every couple of days if you do this one a lot, I would reccomend doing it 5 times a week tops. £20 in 30 minutes
Paddy Powe Skybet Bet clubs: Bet 5x £10 bets in a week to get a £10 free bet with Paddy Power. Bet £25 in a week to get a £5 free bet with Skybet. £10 in 30 minutes

Above you can see the reality of making profit long after you've finished the welcome offers, but it comes down to organisation.
So in Summary, these are my 6 Rules for making a monthly Profit:
(1) Check your email daily for offers, many times bookies will send you personalised offers just for you, and these can be very VERY generous.
(2) Check the Reload Offers section on Team profit every morning to see what offers are available that day.
(3) Offers change all the time- Don't let this put you off. There are always new offers to replace the previous ones. There are also Weekly/Daily offers ( Coral £50 free bet, Paddy power refund if 2nd 3rd 4th, William hill money back if second, Paddy Power 2up, Bet clubs etc) which are constantly available when sport is on.
(4) Make Mug bets ( Explained more in PART 3)
(5) It all adds up. Don't think "It's only a £5 free bet, not worth matching". I get around 15 £5 free bets every week, If I ignored them all I would be down £200 at the end of the month.
(6) Don't spend all day at it. Once you've checked your email and reload offers, you know what offers you need to do that day. Set alarms so you can make your matches before each event starts, but don't spend ages sitting at your computer waiting for "the perfect match", for your own mental health, set a time limit of 1 hour per day at most.

PART 3: FAQ
(1) How much money do you need to put in to start?
When you go onto the offers page on Team Profit after signing up, there is an option to start with £25, £50 or £100. You can select one of those three options And it will show you a different number of offers according to your selection. I started with £100 because I wanted to get things moving a little quicker. I did this so that I would have enough money for liability to do a bigger earning offer at the start. One year later, and having see the potential for profit, I keep around £500 floating between my accounts. This is useful for large sporting events where I may want to do around 10- 15 offers in a short time.
(2) Is it in anyway going to impact my credit score?
Using gambling sites doesn't effect your credit score unless you borrow money to fund it. I do all my match betting through a virtual bank (Monzo) in order to keep that stuff out of my main bank on the off chance that it raises any eyebrows. You'll be using Monzo like a cash card, where you can only spend the money you put into the card. This is why it won't affect your credit score, because you wouldn't be taking out an overdraft or using credit for example.
(3) What is Mug Betting?
Mug Betting is where you make bets that have no relation to any offer or promotion in order to appear like a regular punter. If you are doing a lot of offers on one site, it's a good idea to make mug bets in order to avoid being "gubbed" (Gubbed is a term for when bookies realise you are only taking advantadge of promotions and close your account permanantly). Of course you will also Match these "Mug bets" on the exchange. Make 1-2 Mug bets on Each site every week(On the sites you are using a lot for offers and promotions) in order to ensure your accounts last longer than 1-2 years. I have been matching for well over a year and have never been gubbed. Take the extra couple of minutes to Mug bet, it's worth it.
More on Mug betting here

Ok so that's everything I can think of to share with you guys, The link to sign up to your free Team Profit account is at the bottom of Part 1 of this guide.
TLDR: You do not need to "gamble" to match bet, in fact by definition, the bet you make is "matched" on the exchange, so it is not a gamble in any sense.
I really hope this guide will help someone out because It really is a solid way to sort out a months rent for quite a modest amount of work.
Thanks for Reading.

Match betting doesn't finish with the Welcome offers. Here is exactly how I make £1000 a month.

Trump’s war on the intelligence community: 10 days under an authoritarian administration

Introduction

Over the past 10 days, we've seen Trump fully indulge his authoritarian impulses in an attempt to stamp out any inkling of facts that he dislikes - whether that be for personal, egocentric reasons or to shore up political strength. One could argue the true "start" of this no-holds-barred dictatorial spree actually stretches back to the Republican acquittal in the impeachment trial. I'd agree with that, too. But 10 days ago Congress was given its first formal warning of the dangers facing our democracy in the next nine months. That Trump launched a war on the intelligence community in response to Americans trying to protect their country from foreign influence speaks volumes to me.
Trump and the Republican party are actively abetting an attack on our nation. "To abet" is to encourage or assist (someone) to do something wrong, in particular, to commit a crime or other offense. Using the immense power given to him by willing Republicans in Congress, Trump is using his authority to hobble the ability of anyone - even America's national security leaders - to stop him and his regime from carrying out Trump's desires, however corrupt, self-serving, or insane.

10 days ago...

The briefing

Ten days ago, on Feb. 13, the intelligence community warned House Intelligence Committee members that Russia is interfering in the 2020 election to try to get Donald Trump re-elected. The briefing, provided by top election security official Shelby Pierson, informed House lawmakers that Russia had “developed a preference” for Trump and would also interfere in Democratic primaries.
Trump - who learned of the briefing from the committee’s Ranking Member Devin Nunes - grew angry at acting Director of National Intelligence (DNI) Joseph Maguire for providing the information to Congress. The following day, Trump “berated” Maguire for allowing it to take place. According to The New York Times, “Trump was particularly irritated that Representative Adam B. Schiff” was present because the president worried that Schiff would “weaponize” the intelligence about Russia’s support for him.
House Intelligence Committee Chairman Adam Schiff responded to Trump’s anger at the briefing: "We count on the intelligence community to inform Congress of any threat of foreign interference in our elections. If reports are true and the President is interfering with that, he is again jeopardizing our efforts to stop foreign meddling. Exactly as we warned he would do."
Side note: A Pardon for Assange
Trump is so desperate to keep Russia’s interference on his behalf a secret, that he may have supported then-Rep. Dana Rohrabacher’s offer of a pardon to WikiLeaks founder Julian Assange in exchange for denying Russian involvement in the Democratic National Committee email leak.

Lawyer Edward Fitzgerald told a court on Wednesday that a witness statement application claimed that then-California representative Dana Rohrabacher went to visit Assange at the Ecuadorean Embassy in London on the instruction of the "President." According to the statement described by Fitzgerald, Rohrabacher's mission was to offer Assange a US pardon, if he would "play ball" by saying the Russians had nothing to do with the leak -- an assertion Assange had previously made.

The White House has denied the claim and distanced itself from Rohrabacher.
The former congressman admits to making the offer to Assange - but does not state that President Trump directed him to do so.

“I spoke to Julian Assange and told him if he would provide evidence about who gave WikiLeaks the emails, I would petition the president to give him a pardon,” Rohrabacher told Yahoo News. “He knew I could get to the president.”

The purge

In retaliation for the briefing, Trump ditched considerations to nominate Maguire to be permanent DNI and quickly replaced him with loyalist Richard Grenell.

Ominous warning: William H. McRaven, a retired Navy admiral who oversaw the 2011 Navy SEAL raid in Pakistan that killed Osama bin Laden, wrote in The Washington Post that “if good men like Joe Maguire can’t speak the truth, we should be deeply afraid.” McRaven continues: “in this administration, good men and women don’t last long. Joe was dismissed for doing his job: overseeing the dissemination of intelligence to elected officials who needed that information to do their jobs...when presidential ego and self-preservation are more important than national security — then there is nothing left to stop the triumph of evil.”

In the days that followed, two other top Intelligence officials announced their departures: (1) Grenell fired the second-highest-ranking official at the ODNI, Andrew Hallman, who had over three decades of intelligence experience; (2) the top lawyer for the ODNI, Jason Klitenic, submitted his resignation, to go into effect in early March. It is unlikely that Klitenic was pushed out, because he played a role in helping prevent the Ukraine whistleblower’s complaint from reaching Congress last year.
Within his first 48 hours, Grenell proceeded to name Kash Patel, former adviser to Rep. Devin Nunes, as a senior adviser in the office of the DNI. As Nunes’ top staffer, Patel authored a memo used to argue that the FBI and DOJ’s probe of Russia’s interference in the 2016 election was actually a deep state plot to take down Trump. Patel also assisted Trump in his pressure campaign against Ukraine: Lt. Col. Alexander Vindman and Fiona Hill testified to Congress that Patel “misrepresented” as the NSC expert on Ukraine, which was actually Vindman’s position.

Vindman also testified that he was told Patel had been circumventing normal NSC process to get negative material about Ukraine in front of the president, feeding Trump’s belief that Ukraine was brimming with corruption and had interfered in the 2016 election on behalf of Democrats.
That upset Vindman, along with Hill and Bolton, he testified, because they were constantly having to counter that narrative with the president.

Furthermore, there is evidence that Patel may have coordinated the hold on aid to Ukraine to begin with:

...the 300-page impeachment report released by House Intelligence Committee Democrats Tuesday said that Patel spoke with Rudy Giuliani, the president's personal attorney, in the spring, before nearly $400 million in military aid to Ukraine was suspended.
According to the call records revealed in the report, Patel had a 25-minute phone conversation with Giuliani on May 10. Five minutes after their call, Giuliani spoke with an unidentified number for 17 minutes and then with associate Lev Parnas, a Ukrainian-American who has been accused of illegally funneling foreign money to U.S. political candidates and of aiding Giuliani in his Ukraine investigations.

Acting officials

Richard Grenell, Trump’s newest acting-DNI, has served as U.S. ambassador to Germany since 2018. By taking advantage of the Federal Vacancies Reform Act, Trump has been able to maintain a cabinet full of acting officials with little Congressional oversight. If a vacancy occurs in a position that requires Senate confirmation, Trump can appoint someone from any agency who is serving in a different Senate-confirmed position, Grenell, as an ambassador, has already been confirmed by the Senate - though for an entirely different job with entirely different qualifications.
Acting officials can serve in the vacant position for 210 days. If the president submits a nomination to the Senate during that time, the acting officer can continue to perform the office’s duties while the nomination is pending, however long it takes. If the nominee is returned, the officer can work as acting for another 210 days, and then through a second entire nomination process, and a final 210 days if that second nominee is returned. Then, if time runs out, the office must remain vacant until someone is confirmed by the Senate for the job.

Note: Enforcement of the Federal Vacancies Reform Act is problematic. It is up to the Government Accountability Office (GAO) to track time of acting service for each position. If the GAO finds a violation, the office must send a letter to the agency involved, to the president, and to Congress. At this point, the person’s actions have no force or effect - but someone with legal standing needs to bring a lawsuit in order to enforce the provision.

Therefore, because Maguire was serving as an acting official as well, Grenell cannot remain in the acting DNI position past March 11 unless the president formally nominates someone else for the job. The White House and Grenell have acknowledged that a search for a formal nominee is underway. The administration was reportedly considering Rep. Doug Collins for the post… until Collins turned down the job on national television.

Jan. 2019, Trump said: "I sort of like acting. It gives me more flexibility. Do you understand that? I like acting. So we have a few that are acting. We have a great, great Cabinet." A recent analysis found that acting officials in the Trump administration have held down 22 cabinet and cabinet-level jobs for a combined 2,700 days -- about 1 out of every 9 days across those jobs.
Hypothetical: Let’s say Trump wants to keep Grenell in the position for as long as possible, without nominating him because it is unlikely Grenell would be confirmed, even by the Republican-controlled Senate (see below). As long as Trump nominates someone for the position by March 11, Grenell can serve for however long as the Senate confirmation process takes - typically, around 2 months if the nominee is uncontroversial. That puts Grenell’s end date in mid-May. But Trump could intentionally nominate someone controversial to slow the process, or possibly even instruct his Senate allies to slow-walk the process. That would push out Grenell’s end date into the summer. If the nominee is not confirmed, the 210 day clock resets, giving Grenell an additional six months to serve in his acting capacity. As the end of that six months nears, Trump could put forward a second nominee, during whose confirmation process Grenell can continue to serve in the position. If that nominee fails as well, Grenell has a final six months to be acting-DNI before the position must remain vacant.

Sunday update: A Lawfare analysis

The term of art for this process is “manipulation-by-appointment.” Rather than trying to force intelligence analysts to change their views in ways that are politically convenient, this kind of politicization works by making sure their bosses are politically pliable. Manipulation-by-appointment reduces the risk of a public scandal because politicians are less likely to come into conflict with intelligence chiefs. There is no need to strong-arm intelligence agencies to fall in line with policy if the chiefs are already on board. source

Who is Richard Grenell?

Grenell has no experience as an intelligence officer and has only served in government as a communications director for the U.S. ambassador to the U.N. during the George W. Bush administration. After that, Grenell ran a public affairs consultancy and appeared on Fox News. In May 2018 he was confirmed as the ambassador to Germany, where he quickly made enemies:

Grenell’s tenure as ambassador to Germany has been rocky, at least from Berlin’s perspective. He has palled around with far-right groups, spoken openly of a desire to change Angela Merkel’s government, and made statements about U.S. views that sounded like direct orders to sensitive German ears. Last spring, leaders of two German political parties called him a “brat” and a “failure” and urged his ouster.

Additionally, Grenell is an associate of none-other-than Rudy Giuliani. According to Lev Parnas, Victoria Toensing asked Grenell “for advance notice if the Department of Justice were to move to extradite an indicted Ukrainian oligarch, Dmytro Firtash, from whom Giuliani hoped to get compromising information. Parnas also claims Grenell said he would comply.” Firtash is a powerful ally of Vladimir Putin and has assisted the Russian president’s attempt to gain control over Ukraine’s political system and economy. In 2017, the U.S. Justice Department said Firtash was among the “upper echelon associates of Russian organized crime.”
Aside from being remarkably unqualified, it is unclear whether Grenell even has a top-level security clearance or could qualify for one. A report by ProPublica revealed that Grenell used to do consulting work for Moldovan politician Vladimir Plahotniuc, “who is now a fugitive and was recently barred from entering the U.S. under anti-corruption sanctions imposed last month by the State Department.” Grenell failed to disclose this work and did not register under the Foreign Agents Registration Act.

Undisclosed work for a foreign politician would ordinarily pose a problem for anyone applying for a security clearance or a job in a U.S. intelligence agency because it could make the person susceptible to foreign influence or blackmail, according to the official policy from the office that Trump tapped Grenell to lead.
“That’s really easy, he should not have a clearance,” said Kel McClanahan, a Washington-area lawyer specializing in security clearances. “If he were one of my clients and just a normal [federal employee], he would almost assuredly not have a clearance.”
McClanahan said it’s unclear how Grenell could have already gotten a clearance as an ambassador. The House Oversight Committee is investigating whether the Trump administration has overruled career officials in granting security clearances to political appointees.

Aside from his appearances on Fox News, Grenell may have come to Trump’s attention through the patronage of Trump properties. The Washington Post found that the Trump International Hotel in D.C. listed Grenell as a “Gold” level member of the Trump Organization’s “Trump Card” loyalty program in 2018. Kelly Craft, the ambassador to the U.N., was also listed as a gold level member.

Russia’s bet keeps paying off

Moving back to the source of Trump’s fury: The nation knows that Russia prefers Trump to win re-election. When told this, Trump’s Republican allies on the House Intelligence Committee challenged the ODNI’s conclusion. But, as Russia expert Julia Davis points out, Russian state media has never stopped declaring the multitude of ways that Trump’s election has proven “exceedingly beneficial for the Kremlin.”

Russian state media openly gloats about the Kremlin’s influence over Trump, believing that he can endure the exposure without repercussions, and by flaunting the Kremlin’s sway with the White House, Russia further weakens U.S. democracy, which has always been one of its main pursuits.
...Every denial of Russian election interference coming out of the White House brings Putin one step closer to the fulfillment of his goals. Every election-security bill that is blocked by the GOP in the Senate gives advantage to our foreign adversaries—and they are not sick of winning.

We don’t need to rely on Russian state media to tell us that Putin prefers Trump: The Russian president has told us so himself. In 2018, at a joint press conference with Trump in Helsinki, Putin told the press that he wanted Trump to win in 2016 because he believed Trump’s policies would be more beneficial to the Kremlin. "Yes, I did. Yes, I did. Because he talked about bringing the U.S.-Russia relationship back to normal,” Putin said.
Washington Post columnist Max Boot lays out the global benefits Russia enjoys:

Putin doesn’t care about Trump’s sanctions on Iran, which indirectly help Russia by boosting the price of oil. But he does care that Trump has strengthened Russia’s longtime ally in Syria, Bashar al-Assad.
...Trump has facilitated Russian designs not only in Syria but also in Libya, where the Russian-backed strongman Khalifa Hifter is trying to overthrow a United Nations-backed government in Tripoli. The U.S. government ostensibly supports the regime in Tripoli, but Trump called Hifter and gave him a green light for his offensive. Trump is making Russia great again in the Middle East for the first time since Egypt expelled Russian advisers in 1972.
...Far from strengthening NATO, as he now boasts, Trump has weakened it by relentlessly criticizing the alliance and portraying it as a bunch of deadbeats.

Addendum

The purge, act 2

While Trump purges officials he sees as disloyal from the intelligence community, newly-returned staffer John McEntee is busy searching out “Never Trumpers” to punish. According to Axios, “McEntee called in White House liaisons from cabinet agencies for an introductory meeting Thursday, in which he asked them to identify political appointees across the U.S. government who are believed to be anti-Trump.” Those officials “will no longer get promotions by shifting them around agencies.”

Reminder: McEntee was Trump’s personal aide throughout much of 2017 and into 2018, but was pushed out by then-Chief of Staff John Kelly over gambling debts that threatened his security clearance. Trump reportedly sees McEntee as “the ultimate loyalist” and brought him back at a time when the president “feels he’s surrounded by snakes and wants to clear out all the disloyal people.”

SUNDAY update: The Trump White House and its allies, over the past 18 months, assembled detailed lists of disloyal government officials to oust — and trusted pro-Trump people to replace them — according to more than a dozen sources familiar with the effort. Included in this network of conservative activists assembling purge lists is Ginni Thomas, the wife of Supreme Court Justice Clarence Thomas.
Meanwhile, Director of Trade and Manufacturing Policy Peter Navarro is on a quest to identify and remove the author known as “Anonymous,” responsible for many anti-Trump op-eds and the book “A Warning.” Last week, it appears that Navarro has zeroed in on a potential suspect: Deputy National Security Adviser Victoria Coates, who is being transferred to the Department of Energy. Though the official White House line doesn’t acknowledge it, The New York Times reported that Coates has been “targeted by a whisper campaign among some pro-Trump conservatives that she was Anonymous.” Allies of Coates deny the allegation.

Several officials who heard Navarro push this said they do not believe Coates is the author and several described her as loyal to the President's agenda. However, the workplace became untenable given these dynamics, so Coates began looking for an exit, officials said, which led to her move to the Energy Department on Thursday. CNN

A weakened National Security apparatus

After last year’s exodus of National Security officials, the entire system is weakened by a lack of expertise and will to stand up for the truth. The NSC has gone from 174 policy positions in October, to fewer than 115 this month. Under Trump’s National Security Adviser, Robert O’Brien, the NSC has been co-opted to building support for Trump’s craziest whims. The New York Times reports:

When President Trump’s national security adviser, Robert C. O’Brien, convenes meetings with top National Security Council officials at the White House, he sometimes opens by distributing printouts of Mr. Trump’s latest tweets on the subject at hand.
The gesture amounts to an implicit challenge for those present. Their job is to find ways of justifying, enacting or explaining Mr. Trump’s policy, not to advise the president on what it should be.
That is the reverse of what the National Security Council was created to do at the Cold War’s dawn — to inform and advise the president on national security decisions.

Most recently, O’Brien proved his willingness to do Trump’s dirty work and weaponize intelligence for political gain. In an interview with Face the Nation, O’Brien states that he hasn’t seen any evidence of Russia seeking to help Trump. But, O’Brien says, it is plausible that Russia is seeking to help the Democrats instead.

O’Brien seized gleefully on reports about Russia and Sanders but rejected reports about Russia and Trump. Russian backing for Sanders, he said, would be “no surprise. He honeymooned in Moscow.”

New: Sunday night updates

On Sunday, Trump made a veiled threat toward House Intelligence Committee Chairman Adam Schiff while claiming without evidence that the Democrat had leaked information from the Russia briefing on Feb. 13: “Somebody please tell incompetent (thanks for my high poll numbers) & corrupt politician Adam ‘Shifty’ Schiff to stop leaking Classified information or, even worse, made up information, to the Fake News Media. Someday he will be caught, & that will be a very unpleasant experience!” tweet
Later, while speaking to reporters, Trump called for an investigation into the leak - more concerned about the public learning of the briefing than he is about Russia’s repeated interference in U.S. elections. “They leaked it, Adam Schiff and his group. They leaked it to the papers and - as usual - they ought to investigate Adam Schiff for leaking that information,” Trump said.
Schiff responded: “Nice deflection, Mr. President. But your false claims fool no one. You welcomed Russian help in 2016, tried to coerce Ukraine’s help in 2019, and won’t protect our elections in 2020.”

Originally written for tomorrow's Lost in the Sauce. As such, I tried to keep it as brief as possible... didn't turn out very brief, however, which is why I posted it separately. The scary part is that it could be much longer! It's not exhaustive. For instance, I'll be covering Trump's pardons in the Sauce newsletter tomorrow even though it would fit in this post, too. As The New Yorker summed up: "The point of authoritarianism is to concentrate power in the ruler, so the world knows that all actions, good and bad, harsh and generous, come from a single source."

Wrestling Observer Rewind ★ Nov. 26, 2001

Going through old issues of the Wrestling Observer Newsletter and posting highlights in my own words. For anyone interested, I highly recommend signing up for the actual site at f4wonline and checking out the full archives.
PREVIOUS YEARS ARCHIVE:
1991 • 1992 • 1993 • 1994 • 1995 • 1996 • 1997 • 1998 • 1999 • 2000


1-1-2001	1-8-2001	1-15-2001	1-22-2001
1-29-2001	2-5-2001	2-12-2001	2-19-2001
2-26-2001	3-5-2001	3-12-2001	3-19-2001
3-26-2001	4-2-2001	4-9-2001	4-16-2001
4-23-2001	4-30-2001	5-7-2001	5-14-2001
5-21-2001	5-28-2001	6-4-2001	6-11-2001
6-18-2001	6-25-2001	7-2-2001	7-9-2001
7-16-2001	7-23-2001	7-30-2001	8-6-2001
8-13-2001	8-20-2001	8-27-2001	9-3-2001
9-10-2001	9-17-2001	9-25-2001	10-1-2001
10-8-2001	10-15-2001	10-22-2001	10-29-2001
11-5-2001	11-12-2001	11-19-2001

With the defeat of the Alliance at Survivor Series (more on that in a bit), the WWF basically reset the whole promotion and also brought back Ric Flair and Jerry Lawler, all of which led to the first positive ratings boost Raw has had in quite awhile. The Invasion angle, after being arguably the biggest flop of an angle in wrestling history, came to an end where WWF won in a confusing mess of a main event. With the exception of the one successful Invasion PPV, all the potential money in doing a WWF vs. WCW feud was completely squandered due to an incredible string of dumb booking and bad business decisions. But that's allegedly in the past now and Raw this week felt like one of those old WCW/Vince Russo company reboots, with the old storylines being dropped and everything starting fresh. Dave hopes this goes better than the 3 times Russo tried to reset WCW.
So anyway, let's start with Ric Flair. He had verbally agreed to a deal with WWF on the night of Survivor Series to accept a buyout from WWF on the remainder of his Time Warner contract. The deal wasn't officially signed until about 3 hours before the Raw where he debuted, at which point Flair officially signed with WWF and Time Warner released him from his remaining WCW deal. It was a photo finish because WWF didn't know if Flair would get the release in time and they didn't really have a backup plan if he didn't. With WCW no longer in business and no more WCW office staff, the Time Warner people are left handling all the old WCW contracts and because of that, things were moving more slowly than normal. As seen on Raw, the plan is for Flair to play an adversary to Vince McMahon, with each of them owning 50% of WWF, which will ultimately lead to the long-talked about brand split, with Vince in charge of one side and Flair the other since they can't get along as co-owners. Flair has had on-and-off again talks with WWF ever since WCW folded back in March but the hold up was always Flair not wanting to walk away from his WCW contract, which guaranteed him big money until Feb. of 2003. In recent weeks, the XWF had also spoken with Flair about buying out his contract so there was some pressure there and ultimately, WWF apparently made a good enough offer for Flair to accept it. He will turn 54 years old in a few months and signed a 3-year contract. He's expected to work some matches, but only on big shows and his first match won't be for a few more months because he wants to get back in the shape he wants to be in, since he hasn't really wrestled in a long time. Flair's return, in Charlotte NC no less, got the huge pop you would expect and Flair later told Dave it was one of the top 3 or 4 biggest highlights of his career.

WATCH: Ric Flair returns to WWF in 2001

Then there's Jerry Lawler, who had actually agreed to a deal with XWF and even worked their television taping last week. When the decision was made to blow off the Invasion angle, it meant Paul Heyman would be taken off television. They would need a new announcer for Raw and the natural choice was Lawler. He has been close to coming back several times over the last few months, but there was always opposition within the company from some people due to the way Lawler kinda nuked his bridges behind him when he left. If you don't recall, Lawler was extremely vocal with his displeasure over how WWF fired his now ex-wife Stacy Carter and the heat got so bad that WWF pulled their developmental deal away from Power Pro Wrestling in Memphis because of their Lawler connections. After Stacy Carter left Lawler (for former WWF developmental wrestler Mike Howell), he began mending fences with the company. They actually asked Lawler to come in a couple of weeks ago, but by that point, he had already agreed to do the first round of XWF tapings as well as appear on WWA's tour of England. Lawler actually signed a contract with XWF which has a non-compete, but his longtime friend Jimmy Hart asked Lawler to work the tapings and then if he still wanted to go to WWF, they wouldn't try to stand in his way. Lawler said the decision wasn't easy because he had committed to XWF and enjoyed working for them, but he also recognized that at this stage in his life, he needed to accept the job that was most stable for his future and XWF is anything but a sure bet. Much like Flair, there was some last-second contract wrangling and he didn't actually sign his new 3-year WWF contract until just before Raw went on the air. He's making roughly the same $250,000 per year he was making before he quit the company last time. Lawler went out on the air having not seen Survivor Series or really without having watched much WWF television at all this year and had zero knowledge of any of the current storylines so that was mostly left to Jim Ross to get over for most of the show while Lawler cracked jokes. Lawler's new deal still allows him to take independent bookings and coincidentally enough, Lawler will still be working with Jimmy Hart to promote local shows in Memphis, which will act as something of a developmental territory for XWF.

WATCH: Jerry Lawler returns to WWF in 2001

Raw also saw the departure of Mick Foley. As noted in the past, Foley hasn't been happy with the direction of the company for awhile and a couple of weeks ago on Raw, he cut a promo alluding to all his issues with how the company has been dropping the ball, which was more shoot than scripted. Even though Foley seemingly left the company in kayfabe 2 weeks ago, Vince legitimately wanted to give Foley a real proper send-off, since he's literally never had the chance to do that with any of his top stars (most top guys who leave the WWF usually do so on bad terms behind the scenes). So they had a pre-taped segment on Vince's private jet, with Foley and Vince talking about everything Foley has given to the business and then when the plane landed and Foley walked off, in a sitcom-like goodbye, Vince smiled and said, "Have a nice day." Dave feels like it was a pretty clumsy goodbye and paled in comparison to how, say, NJPW for instance treats its retiring legends. But better than nothing, he supposes. It was long expected that after Foley retired from in-ring competition that he would stay with the company in an ambassador role, but turns out that is still pretty restricting. Foley wanted more control over his ability to do non-wrestling projects and the WWF contract meant they largely owned and controlled whatever he wanted to do. So Foley is off to go do....whatever he wants now. Dave says he can write more books, but without the WWF machine to help promote them, it's going to be a tougher hill to climb.
During the WWF quarterly investor call, Linda McMahon surprisingly made very few excuses for WWF's current business struggles and basically admitted that they just haven't been producing good television. Dave runs down all of WWF's business declines over the recent quarter, the company projections for the first quarter of 2002, profit and revenue numbers, comparing quarters from this year to last year, merchandising and licensing, and all that fun business/stock shit. If numbers are your thing, this story is for you. One interesting thing to note is that, due to the decline in PPV buys and the increase in TV rights fees, that means that television is now the top priority and the company's leading source of revenue (it remains that way to this day). Because of that, WWF has to be careful not to alienate sponsors anymore, which is why things aren't nearly as risque now as they were in, say, 1999. Because TV is now the top priority and they can't afford to take too many risks. During the call, Linda first talked about the business being cyclical and made some other excuses for low attendance (9/11), the failing WWF Times Square restaurant (9/11) and things like that. The usual excuses. But then she admitted that the WCW Invasion angle had been a failure and blamed that for much of the company's recent issues. Which, well...yeah. However, when talking about why the angle failed, she first blamed it on a skill level difference in the performers (basically saying that the WCW wrestlers weren't as good as WWF stars) and poor audience response to the WCW stars (specifically the night of the infamous Buff Bagwell/Booker T match on Raw). She also blamed "creative confusion" behind the scenes (in other words, the fact that plans were changing on a daily basis, which is something that falls squarely on her husband). Linda used a football analogy explaining why they dropped the angle, basically saying it failed and they had to back up and punt. With the exception of RVD and Stacy Keibler, all the other members of the WCW/ECW group have been temporarily written off television. Many of them are understandably nervous about their futures. Some will be fine but Dave thinks some are right to be worried. Aside from Booker T, almost none of them would be that terribly missed if they were released. But with the plan still being to do a brand split and running 2 touring groups simultaneously, they are going to need a lot of wrestlers. Most of them are still working house shows, despite being "fired" on TV after the Survivor Series loss.
Oh yeah...Survivor Series is in the books. It was pretty much a one-match show with the WWF vs. The Alliance main event being the only reason anyone cared and the storyline is that everyone's jobs were on the line. For the undercard Alliance wrestlers, many of them really did feel that way. With all the big stars in one match, the rest of the show wasn't great. But the main event delivered and then some. Edge beat Test to unify the Intercontinental and U.S. titles, thus ending the history of the U.S. title, which was dropped. Dave talks briefly about the history of that title (it comes back about 2 years later). The Dudleyz beat the Hardyz to unify the WWF and WCW tag titles, which is also the end of those belts and their history dating back to 1975. Matt Hardy was legit injured in the match when his face slammed into the cage and nearly knocked out his front teeth and he ended up needing a brace put in to keep his teeth in place at the dentist the next day. There's also a chance he suffered nerve damage from a deep cut to the gums. Trish Stratus won the WWF women's title that has been vacant ever since Chyna left the company months ago. Chyna was never acknowledged on commentary and it was never really explained why the title was vacant. Former ECW women's wrestler Jazz debuted in the match and Heyman put her over huge on commentary. And the main event was a 4.5 star show-stealer that was wild, out of control, and just crazy enough to be riveting. Now, 10 months after ECW really died and 8 months after WCW really died, their names were "officially taken off life support and allowed to die with no dignity after a branding manslaughter," as Dave so eloquently puts it. And with that, WCW and ECW are finally, truly dead.
Speaking of truly dead, the XWF television tapings are complete and it's uncertain what their future is. They filmed 10 episodes of TV and the situation with Hogan is still confusing. After initially pulling out of the XWF, Hogan showed up as a surprise and wrestled Curt Hennig at the tapings, which was Hogan's first match in over a year (since he left WCW). The match was said to be about what you'd expect from those 2 at this stage in their career wrestling in front of a few hundred fans in a free theme park studio. Hennig was managed by Bobby Heenan, who even took a bump for the first time in years. Hogan did a promo after saying he's planning to win the XWF title but it's unknown if any of this will ever air even if they do get a TV deal. Hogan reportedly did the match as a favor to longtime friend Jimmy Hart, who is hoping to use the Hogan footage to dangle in front of TV execs to secure a TV deal. Hogan is said to be torn because he wants to be back in the spotlight and wrestling again, but he also doesn't want to be associated with another failure and XWF is by no means a sure thing. XWF is planning to film more TV shows in January and are claiming they want to run a full 145-date house show schedule in 2002. Attempting to do that without viable TV is suicide though. They're also hoping to get guys like Sting, Scott Hall, and Kevin Nash when they're available, but that's not a sure bet either. They're also filming segments with celebrities like Gene Simmons, Alice Cooper, and Willie Nelson who will appear on the show. So that's basically where we're at with XWF (amazingly, I can't find footage of this Hogan/Hennig match anywhere. Looks like it may have never aired).
Martha Hart threatened a lawsuit this week against Diana Hart over Diana's new book "Under The Mat." Martha's lawyers demanded a public retraction, apology, and for the book to be removed from print and taken off bookstore shelves no later than Nov. 28th or else a lawsuit would be filed. Her lawyers also demanded that Diana Hart and her co-author Kirstie McLennan and the companies that published and distributed the book negotiate an out-of-court settlement. Martha is alleging the book is "filled with distortions, misstatements, and unjustified slurs that attempt to destroy the reputation of my family and me, and undermine the memory of Owen. I have no choice but to deliver a formal libel notice." Dave notes that Diana Hart has pretty much alienated herself from the entire rest of the Hart family, including members of the family who have usually been on her side. Diana responded to the lawsuit threat calling Martha a rich bully who is trying to silence her. "Martha has the money to fight me on it and I don't," she responded in an interview. "Maybe she thinks that's how she'll win this but I know what I've written is true." Dave says the book negatively portrays Martha throughout the whole thing and also painted a negative portrayal of Owen's marriage to her. As mentioned last week, Diana recently appeared on a late night talk show to promote the book in Canada and seemed totally out of it, which drew comparisons to the infamous Farrah Fawcett/David Letterman interview a couple of years ago. This week, Chyna was on that same talk show and the host mentioned Diana's recent appearance and joked that he didn't think Diana could have even read her own book, much less written it. Anyway, Dave wouldn't be surprised to see Diana get hit with more lawsuits because the book is just outrageous and full of obviously libelous material and he's shocked any publisher dared put it out to begin with.
Dave wants to take a moment to thank all the people involved with helping to promote his new "Tributes" book. He spent the last week in Toronto doing promotion on all the news stations, radio appearances, several TV shows, Off The Record, some afternoon talk shows, book signings, Q&As, and more. He thanks all those people, the publishers, the readers, etc. The book is available at most major bookstores throughout North America now as well as Amazon. In its first week, the book outsold both Diana Hart's book and Kurt Angle's book in Canada. To be fair, Dave admits that Angle's book has been out for a couple of months already, but it was still on the bestseller list until just a week or two ago. But still, Dave's pretty proud of how this all turned out and is eternally grateful to everyone who helped and yada yada.
The voting is open for the 22nd annual year-end Observer Awards. Needless to say, 2001 was an interesting year. The wrestling bubble burst, ECW and WCW went extinct, and WWF went from being the most successful company in the world to...well, still the most successful company in the world, but they had the greatest angle of all time handed to them and fumbled it and as a result, business collapsed. Anyway, Dave breaks down all the categories and what they mean and all that fun shit. Cast your votes now!
Carlos Colon's younger brother Noel Colon was shot and killed in San Juan, Pureto Rico last week in his office. Noel worked as the president of a transportation company and had just fired an employee. That employee left and then returned with a gun and shot Colon 4 times in the head and chest. Colon was rushed to the hospital but died there (no word if Carlos helped cover this one up too).
Hayabusa is still hospitalized. He was expected to be moved to a rehab facility but got sick with pneumonia in the hospital, which apparently isn't uncommon for people who basically can't move for long periods of time.
Lots of drama coming out of the King of the Indies tournament a few weeks ago that was held by APW in California. For starters, APW lost more than $10,000 on the show so that's bad news. And then there was a lot of arguments over who should win. APW owner Roland Alexander at first wanted Low-Ki to win the tournament but then Christopher Daniels pushed for Donovan Morgan to win because he's the local guy who has to help carry APW. So Morgan was going to win. But then, the owner changed his mind again and decided American Dragon should win (which he ultimately did). This, along with some bickering over who would run APW's training school, led to Morgan and Michael Modest apparently quitting and planning to open up their own wrestling school and promotion.
Chyna was scheduled to play the starring role in a stage production called My Darling Judith, but the play was cancelled just before its opening. No reason given, but Dave suspects poor ticket sales.
Hey, the XWF has its own section now! Anyway, a bunch more notes from the recent tapings: Nasty Boys became the first tag team champions. Rena Mero is the commissioner and with Roddy Piper running the show and they teased friction between them, which is supposed to lead to a Piper heel turn eventually. Piper also hosted a Piper's Pit segment, which they called "In Your Face with Rowdy Roddy Piper" because they can't legally call it Piper's Pit. Low-Ki worked the tapings, using the name Quick Kick. Juventud Guerrera won the cruiserweight title. They also set up a mixed tag storyline with Jerry Lawler and a new valet named Kitten against Simon Diamond and Dawn Marie, but with Lawler now back in WWF, who knows what will become of that. Former WCW women Leia Meow, Gorgeous George, and Nitro Girl Chiquita are doing a Charlie's Angels gimmick. Buff Bagwell was supposed to come in as one of the top babyfaces, but the crowd brutally booed him and chanted "Bagwell sucks" and "You got fired!" so on the taping for the next episode, they had no choice but to turn him heel. And then they did a promo thing referencing his being fired from WWF and the rumors of his mom calling in sick for him and all that shit. Dave says that's fine for the internet crowd, but this is a company that is allegedly trying to land a national TV deal and compete with WWF, and Dave doesn't like that they're referencing obscure stuff like that which most wrestling fans know nothing about (much less a crowd of tourists that were mostly just looking for somewhere to sit down for a little while and got begged into being part of a wrestling audience). Booking for the minority of internet hardcore fans is Russo-type shit and Dave hopes they don't make a habit of it (XWF isn't around long enough to form any habits). Vampiro appears to be getting pushed hard as one of the top stars. And a couple of matches sucked so bad that they re-taped them the next day.
As for the XWF in general, the reports have been mixed. Everyone involved had nothing but great things to say about how well-run and organized things were and everyone was treated well. The matches were said to be pretty bad considering most of the roster are either green bodybuilders or washed up 80s stars. Jerry Lawler was said to be fantastic on commentary while Tony Schiavone was, well, Tony Schiavone (people these days tend to forget how much 2001 Tony didn't give a single iota of a fuck about wrestling anymore). Of all the wrestlers, AJ Styles and Christopher Daniels reportedly impressed people the most, which doesn't surprise Dave at all. Roddy Piper was more coherent than he ever was in WCW, while Rena Mero got shockingly little reaction, to the point that even people backstage were surprised at how not over she was.
Notes from Raw: as mentioned, Heyman was "fired" from commentary and replaced by Lawler. It was a way to totally write Heyman off as an on-screen character, and he will continue to work backstage as a writer. Dave says they should bring him back eventually as a heel manager because good lord, can that guy cut a promo (they do indeed bring him back about 6 months after this, as Brock Lesnar's manager). Trish vs. Lita was arguably the worst 2:44 of wrestling in a major promotion that Dave has seen all year. Then a Dudleyz vs. RVD handicap tables match went sideways when the table didn't break as originally planned and they had to improvise some spots to finish the match. Then they had a segment with Vince firing Shane and Stephanie. First Shane came out, said he lost to a better man, and walked out. The original plan was for Shane to be humiliated and dragged out kicking and screaming, much like Heyman and Stephanie were, but Shane didn't want to do that and Vince ultimately agreed. Also, among the wrestlers privately (because no one dares say it publicly), there was some heat on Shane because he took everyone's finishers the night before and was carried out of the arena, but showed up on Raw not selling anything. Then they did do the kicking and screaming and crying gimmick with Stephanie being dragged out. Shane will be strictly behind the scenes for now, but Dave expects Stephanie back on-screen sooner than later since Triple H is returning soon. Then, Vince McMahon made William Regal literally kiss his ass (the debut of the Kiss My Ass Club) with Vince actually showing some of his bare ass and Regal kissing it. Dave found this whole thing pretty awful and he apparently wasn't alone, as viewers tuned out of this segment in massive numbers according to the ratings. And then the Flair debut to end it.
Notes from Smackdown: they hyped up the December PPV with Michael Cole reading lines that were clearly edited into the show during post production where he teased that they would have a unification match and crown the first ever undisputed champion in the 100-year history of professional wrestling. For starters, that's obviously not true. But even if it was, Dave is just amazed that WWF actually acknowledged that pro wrestling existed prior to 1984. Sharmell Sullivan debuted on the main roster after shockingly little time in developmental as a backstage interviewer. Undertaker vs. Kurt Angle was a really good match and for once, Undertaker actually went out of his way to sell for Angle and treated him like someone who is on his level.
Dave also reviews Smackdown from the previous week since I guess he didn't get a chance before because he was out of town doing book publicity tour shit. Anyway, he says the much-talked about Paul Heyman promo was indeed one of the best promos he's seen in a long time. In regards to the entire Invasion storyline, Dave also says, "Got a feeling this angle will historically be looked at as the single greatest botched angle in wrestling history." (18 years later and....yup. I don't think there's even a close 2nd place) Dave thinks it's sad to imagine how great this angle could have been if they had Heyman delivering these kinds of promos the whole time and really building the Alliance up as equals to WWF, but alas. Dave also seems to think the "What?" chants are getting annoying and notes that people were even doing it at the XWF tapings.
Remember how company president and COO Stuart Snyder was fired a few weeks ago? Dave has more details. Snyder was actually brought in to help WWF expand into other forms of entertainment, such as WWF-produced movies and the failed WWF casino idea in Vegas. Snyder actually didn't have much knowledge of the wrestling business, but Vince wants the WWF to be an overall entertainment conglomerate, not just wrestling. But with business plummeting right now, they decided it might not be the right time for that kind of expansion and Snyder was let go. Also, Snyder was said to be pushing hard for WWF to settle their conflict with DirecTV, but Vince refuses to budge on that issue and refuses to settle and that was a touchy issue with them. Vince has never been good about backing down from a fight publicly, even when it's the smart or right thing to do.
Torrie Wilson appeared on the Howard Stern show this week. She mentioned that she recently got engaged to Billy Kidman. Dave says that's gotta be rough on Kidman, because the WWF sees Torrie as a potential megastar while they clearly don't have any plans for him. That sort of thing can put a lot of pressure on a relationship. Anyway, that's all Dave seems to know. He didn't actually see or hear it. But DDP was also on the show with Torrie. Here's the full interview and it's basically what you'd expect when Howard Stern has a hot chick in front of him:

WATCH: Torrie Wilson & DDP on Howard Stern (2001)

In OVW, Rico Constantino lost a Loser Leaves Town match to Prototype, which means Constantino is finally going to be moving up to the main roster. He got a standing ovation from the crowd afterwards and thanked them for their support. Dave thinks it's going to be interesting to see how his run in WWF goes. Constantino is already 40 years old and that's a tough age to be starting out in the WWF, but he's also really good and well-rounded at all aspects of the business, so who knows.
Mike Awesome suffered a torn ACL and it couldn't have come at a worse time. Awesome says he's trying to avoid needing surgery and is getting a second opinion but with all the rumors of Alliance guys being let go soon due to all the company layoffs, it's a pretty bad time to be sidelined with an injury. Wrestlers in the past have continued working with torn ACLs so it's not unheard of, but it's definitely not the best idea.
The first major review of the upcoming Scorpion King movie starring the Rock is in and it's very negative. Ain't It Cool News reviewed the film calling it a "sad, cliched, poorly acted, horribly written and sadly directed piece of garbage." So.....not great. The movie comes out next year.
Lita was on the cover of TV Guide in Canada and was interviewed. She said her worst injury in wrestling was a dislocated collarbone and shoulder blade from being power bombed by Eddie Guerrero outside the ring.
On his website, Kurt Angle made a post saying that his wife's recent comments about RVD (that he was too dangerous and keeps hurting her husband) were just her opinions as a fan and not his. However, for what it's worth, Kurt Angle was on ESPN a few weeks ago and mentioned a wrestler who had broken his nose in a match recently and then said he would refuse to dignify the guy by even saying his name on the show. But he was clearly talking about RVD. Definitely seems to be some heat between him and Angle.
You may have noticed that William Regal has been suffering bloody noses pretty much every time he wrestles lately. His nose is smashed and infected and bleeds with pretty much any physical exertion and he now needs surgery on it to fix it. But he can't get the surgery until they treat the infection.
DDP was on a radio show doing an interview and admitted that he ended up missing out on about $500,000 by taking a buyout and signing with WWF rather than sitting home and collecting the rest of his WCW contract. Given how his WWF run has gone, probably not the wisest decision in retrospect.

WEDNESDAY: Yuji Nagata to face Mirko Cro Cop, more on WWF essentially resetting the company, Chyna on Howard Stern, and more...

► Observer Rewinds remaining: 5

(DFAroto) Week 11 Matchup Strategy Guide - Part 3

Part 3 of 3

Part 1 Right Here: https://dfaroto.com/nfl/week-11-matchup-strategy-guide-part-1

Part 2 Right Here: https://dfaroto.com/nfl/week-11-matchup-strategy-guide-part-2

GLOSSARY

DVOA (Defense-adjusted Value Over Average) calculates a team's success based on the down-and-distance of each play during the season, then calculates how much more or less successful each team is compared to the league average.
DVOA Pass/Run Defense Rank: Team’s NFL rank in DVOA pass or run defense so far this season. #1 means best DEF against the pass/run, #32 means worst DEF against the pass/run.
ATS = Against the spread
DVOA from https://www.footballoutsiders.com/stats/teamdef/2019

Arizona Cardinals at San Francisco 49ers (-10)

Cardinals ATS: 7-3-0 49ers ATS: 5-4-0
Projected Team Totals: Cardinals 17.5 49ers 27.5

Cardinals

Opp (SF) Pass DVOA: #1
Opp (SF) Run DVOA: #17
Injuries to Watch DEF (SF): DT DJ Jones (OUT) LB Azeez Al-Shaair (Q) CB Ahkello Witherspoon (Q)
Injuries to Watch OFF (ARI): RB Chase Edmonds (OUT) OT Justin Murray (Q) RB David Johnson (monitor)
Key WCB matchups: None
Relevant Target Share %’s (season): Christian Kirk (23%) Larry Fitzgerald (20%) Kenyan Drake (16%) David Johnson (14%) KeeSean Johnson (12%) Damiere Byrd (12%)
RB Snap %/Touches/Targets Week 10: Kenyan Drake (64%, 16, 7) David Johnson (43%, 6, 1)
QB/WTE Breakdown
Although Arizona’s season has taken a downward turn the past few games, Kyler Murray (downgrade) continues to show why he was taken #1 overall in May. He predictably shredded Tampa Bay’s league worst passing defense last week, and is currently in the top-5 for fantasy QBs on the season. For the second time in three games, he’ll do battle with the #1 pass defense by DVOA metrics. The last time these teams met, Murray was able to go over 23 points on the strength of an efficient game with a solid rushing floor. Despite San Francisco’s stingy pass defense - they give up the second fewest FPPG - Murray still belongs in the QB1 discussion this week. His solid receiving corps and ability to make plays with his legs should help to offset the 49ers immense defensive talent.
Last week finally brought the Christian Kirk (downgrade) breakout that owners were waiting for. He exploded for 138 yards and 3 TDs, surprisingly his first time reaching the end zone this year. Unfortunately, his reward for this performance is a matchup with the #1 pass defense by DVOA that also gives up the 4th fewest FPPG to wideouts. It will be tough for him to approach last week’s numbers, but his volume and clear connection with Murray make him a solid WR2/3 that is too hot to bench. Larry Fitzgerald also benefited from last week’s matchup, getting over 10 points (.5 PPR) for the first time since Week 3. He’s not producing the chunk plays from early in the season, and Kirk’s emergence combined with the “spread the wealth” air-raid have pushed him into more flex territory. The tough matchup this week is a further downgrade, so consider benching Fitz for someone with more upside this week. None of the other ARI pass catchers have the consistency to be used in fantasy, especially this week. Andy Isabella and KeeSean Johnson have both shown flashes the last two games, so keep an eye on them in deep leagues, and make sure they are owned in dynasty/keeper leagues. Charles Clay is not a streaming option at TE.
RB Breakdown
During his past two “healthy” games played, David Johnson (downgrade) has a combined negative 0.3 fantasy points scored. Watching the tape from last week shows a back that is clearly not operating at 100%, so it’s tough to trust coach Kingsbury’s declaration that Johnson will be an active part of a “timeshare” this weekend. Kenyan Drake (upgrade PPR) has looked much more explosive than Johnson, so it wouldn’t be a surprise to see him end up getting a majority of the work. The Niners are more vulnerable on the ground than through the air - they have given up the 3rd fewest FPPG but have only the 17th ranked run DVOA - but their defense overall may be able to limit the Cardinals ability to move the ball and score points. Johnson is a risky RB2/3 this week that should probably be benched if owners have other options, while Drake has some upside in PPR as an RB2. He went off against the 49ers two weeks ago for 162 yards and a TD. Approach both backs with caution, but Drake is the much-preferred play at the moment.

49ers

Opp (ARI) Pass DVOA: #26
Opp (ARI) Run DVOA: #21
Injuries to Watch DEF (ARI): DE Jonathan Bullard (OUT) CB Tramaine Brock (Q) DE Zach Kerr (Q) LB Terrell Suggs (Q)
Injuries to Watch OFF (SF): RB Matt Breida (D) K Robbie Gould (D) TE George Kittle (D) OT Joe Staley (OUT) RB Raheem Mostert (Q) WR Dante Pettis (Q) WR Emmanuel Sander (Q)
Key WCB matchups: Emmanuel Sanders vs. Patrick Peterson (Rotoworld)
Relevant Target Share %’s (season): George Kittle (25%) Deebo Samuel (17%) Emmanuel Sanders (17%) Dante Pettis (9%)
RB Snap %/Touches/Targets Week 10: Tevin Coleman (50%, 13, 4) Matt Breida (28%, 12, 2)
QB/WTE Breakdown
An epic showdown with the Seahawks last week saw the 49ers take their first loss of the season, and at least some of the blame can be placed on the onset of injuries to San Francisco’s offensive weapons. Jimmy Garrapolo was working without his top TE, his top WR, and one of his top RBs by the end of MNF last week. Things don’t project to be much better this week on that front, but the matchup does give Jimmy G some streaming appeal. The Cardinals have stud CB Patrick Peterson back, but are still having trouble slowing down opposing passing games. In the last four weeks, Arizona is giving up the fourth most FPPG to QBs. Working in a run-heavy offense without any elite pass-catchers will limit his ceiling, but Jimmy G is a serviceable QB2 streamer based on the matchup, and the boost that playing Arizona’s high pace-of-play should bring.
There are quite a few doubtful and questionable tags on this 49ers offense at the moment, and it’s possible that the Niners err on the side of caution considering they are heavy home favorites against the Cardinals on Sunday. Emmanuel Sanders and George Kittle are both doubtful to suit up, and after not practicing all week are looking likely to sit. That leaves Deebo Samuel (upgrade) as the likely top target this week, and the matchup puts him firmly in the WR3 mix. The Cardinals have given up the 10th most FPPG to WRs and have a bottom-third pass DVOA. Assuming both Kittle and Sanders are out, Samuel could have a big day. Kendrick Bourne was second on the team in targets, and put together a solid fantasy line as well. He’s no more than a WR4 streamer, but there are worse dart throws in season-long or DFS formats. If Sanders or Kittle do get cleared, make sure to weigh your options and be wary of limited snap counts or the possibility of re-injury.
RB Breakdown
With all of the injuries for SF in their passing game, it wouldn’t be surprising to see them lean on their running game even more heavily this week. Matt Breida is doubtful to play, so it’ll be the Tevin Coleman (upgrade) show on Sunday, with Raheem Mostert (flex upgrade PPR) mixing in for a few carries and some pass game work. The Cardinals aren’t an imposing matchup on the ground - 13th most FPPG and bottom-third run DVOA - so expect both backs to have some success. Their position as home favorites also helps to establish a solid rushing floor. Coleman should be viewed as a high-end RB2 with good TD upside, and Mostert is a decent flex option with an upgrade in PPR leagues.
Score Prediction: 49ers 24, Cardinals 20

Houston Texans at Baltimore Ravens (-4)

Texans ATS: 5-4-0 Ravens ATS: 4-5-0
Projected Team Totals: Texans 23.75 Ravens 27.75

Texans

Opp (BAL) Pass DVOA: #8
Opp (BAL) Run DVOA: #28
Injuries to Watch DEF (BAL): DT Michael Pierce (D)
Injuries to Watch OFF (HOU): WR Will Fuller (OUT) T Laremy Tunsil (Q)
Key WCB matchups: None
Relevant Target Share %’s (season): DeAndre Hopkins (30%) Will Fuller (21%) Keke Coutee (13%) Kenny Stills (12%) Duke Johnson (11%) Darren Fells (10%)
RB Snap %/Touches/Targets Week 9: Carlos Hyde (54%, 19, 0) Duke Johnson (46%, 12, 5)
QB/WTE Breakdown
The Texans are sitting at 6-3 heading into Week 11, good for first in the AFC South. Coming out of their bye week, they get a red hot Baltimore Ravens squad in perhaps the most anticipated matchup of the year. The last time Deshaun Watson faced Lamar Jackson was Oct 1, 2016, Watson’s Clemson Tigers rallied to beat Jackson and the No. 3 ranked Louisville Cardinals, 42-36, a game in which the talented QBs produced eight touchdowns and 854 yards of offense (Espn.com). The Vegas oddsmakers project this game to have similar fireworks, as it carries the second highest projected point total of Week 11. BAL has been very good against the pass this year, even without the acquisition of CB Marcus Peters, which has bolstered their secondary - they only cede 15.5 FPPG to QBs - in Week 7, they held Russel Wilson, who is cut from the same cloth as Watson, to only 241 yards passing and one touchdown. Still, start your studs, in a projected negative game-script Watson should see plenty of an opportunity to air it out, just treat him as a lower-end QB1 this week.
Deandre Hopkins has had a somewhat disappointing year for owners that burned premier draft capital on the stud wideout. His average depth of target is sitting at the lowest point (9.94 yard average target) in his career, but have no fear - his 92 targets are third most in the league behind Michael Thomas (103 targets) and Keenan Allen (95) (Rotoworld). Continue to fire him up as a top-tier WR1, the big weeks will come. Will Fuller was officially ruled out Saturday afternoon, so he won’t be operating as Watson’s #2 option this week. Kenny Stills (upgrade standard) will likely see more looks with Fuller out, so owners should take a long look at Stills this week. His potential for a boom week is further upgraded by the matchup - BAL is giving up 22.1 FPPG to WRs. He slides into borderline WR3 value, with a slight upgrade in standard leagues. Houston has been running a significant amount of two-TE sets, affording both Darren Fells and Jordan Akins significant playing time. Fells is the PPR TE10 this season, but he’s no more than a low-end TE1 that is largely touchdown dependent (what TE isn’t?).
RB Breakdown
The matchup projects as a Carlos Hyde (upgrade standard) week, as BAL is weak against the run and strong against the pass. Look for HOU to try and establish Hyde in the early going to set up the pass, he’s a good bet to find paydirt this week - BAL gives up 17.8 FPPG to RBs. Duke Johnson is still too untrustworthy from a fantasy perspective, he’s only received 10+ touches in two games this season. Continue to fade him, although the potential shootout could give him additional looks, especially if the Ravens take a lead in the early going.

Ravens

Opp (HOU) Pass DVOA: #20
Opp (HOU) Run DVOA: #6
Injuries to Watch DEF (HOU): S Tashaun Gipson (Q) CB Bradley Roby (Q)
Injuries to Watch OFF (BAL): WR Marquise Brown (Q, expected to play) WR Chris Moore (Q)
Key WCB matchups: None
Relevant Target Share %’s (season): Mark Andrews (25%) Marquise Brown (22%) Nick Boyle (11%) Willie Snead (10%) Hayden Hurst (8%) Mark Ingram (6%)
RB Snap %/Touches/Targets Week 10: Mark Ingram (50%, 15, 8) Justice Hill (26%, 3, 0) Gus Edwards (24%, 4, 0)
QB/WTE Breakdown
The Ravens have been absolute fire this season, and it’s because Lamar Jackson (upgrade) has taken a huge step forward. With a full summer for John Harbaugh to build the offense around Jackson’s strengths, they have begun to realize the full potential of their stud QB - BAL sits in 2nd in the league for Total Offense with 421 yards per game, 19th for Passing yards per game, and 1st for Rushing yards per game. The showdown between Jackson and Watson will likely determine the AFC MVP race, as both QBs are currently vying for the award. HOU hasn’t been great against the pass - sitting at 20th in Pass DVOA and ceding 20.2 FPPG to QBs and 27.7 FPPG to WRs. Fire up Jackson as usual as a top-3 QB1.
Stud rookie receiver Marquise Brown (upgrade) is operating at less than 100%, but is expected to play through his ailments this week, and he draws an extremely favorable matchup against a burnable HOU secondary. If active he needs to be in all lineups as an upside WR3, this week projects as a boom week in the assumed barn barner. No other wideout is worthy of consideration in this offense, but if Brown is somehow inactive, Willie Snead or Miles Boykin could be treated as desperation flex options, with Boykin being the preference. Mark Andrews (upgrade) got back into the endzone last week, putting up 6-53-2. He’s locked and loaded as Lamar Jackson’s go-to, and needs to be in all lineups every week - HOU only gives up 5.6 FPPG to TEs, but Andrews has earned himself matchup proof consideration.
RB Breakdown
In the blowout win against CIN last week, all of the running backs recieved snaps. Still, it’s Mark Ingram’s (downgrade) backfield. HOU is much tougher against the run than the pass, but Ingram’s goal line involvement should stabilize his floor. Roll him out there as an RB2 even in the tough matchup - HOU only gives up 16 FPPG to RBs. Gus Edwards (stash) is Ingram’s handcuff, and owners could look to stash him as he would have immediate value if something were to happen to Ingram. Rookie Justice Hill is a distant third option for this team.
Score Prediction: Texans 34, Ravens 31

New England Patriots (-3.5) at Philadelphia Eagles

Patriots ATS: 6-3-0 Eagles ATS: 4-5-0
Projected Team Totals: Patriots 24.25 Eagles 20.75

Patriots

Opp (PHI) Pass DVOA: #15
Opp (PHI) Run DVOA: #8
Injuries to Watch DEF (PHI): LB Nigel Bradham (OUT)
Injuries to Watch OFF (NE): RB Damien Harris (Q) TE Matt LeCosse (Q) WR Gunner Olszewski (Q)
Key WCB matchups: None
Relevant Target Share %’s (season): Julian Edelman (25%) Mohamed Sanu (23%) James White (17%) Phillip Dorsett (13%) Rex Burkhead (9%)
RB Snap %/Touches/Targets Week 9: James White (42%, 11, 3) Rex Burkhead (36%, 5, 2) Sony Michel (22%, 5, 2)
QB/WTE Breakdown
Well, that escalated quickly. Heralded as possibly the best defense of all time, NE got boat raced by BAL in a Week 9 loss before heading into their bye week. They had no answer to Lamar Jackson, and will face similar QBs twice more this season (HOU, BUF). Tom Brady (upgrade) draws an extremely fantasy friendly bounce back matchup, going against an Eagles secondary that has been consistently torched by opposing quarterbacks - ceding 18 FPPG. That being said, PHI secondary is as healthy as it’s been all season, but Brady still needs to be active in most lineups as solid QB1.
As usual, Belicheck’s schemes and personal groups have been difficult to predict on a game by game basis, driving fantasy owners mad. Julian Edelman (upgrade) has been the only sure thing in the NE offense this season. He’s the PPR WR9, so fire him up as a WR1 in the great matchup - PHI has hemorrhaged 27.4 FPPG to wideouts. Mohamed Sanu (upgrade) has seen the second most targets behind Edleman since being traded before Week 8. In fact, he saw a team-high 14 targets in the loss to BAL. He’s the second best bet behind Edleman, and should be active in most fantasy lineups as a solid WR3. Outside of the two mentioned above, it would be like trying to capture lightning in a bottle. Phillip Dorsett has thrived on the deep ball, but PHI is only giving up explosive pass plays (20+ yards) on 8% of passes (sharpfootballstats.com). Treat him as a long shot WR4. Rookie wideout N’Keal Harry is expected back at some point after being activated from the IR, but he’s no more than a low upside stash. Don’t consider a tight end on the Patriots right now.
RB Breakdown
The takeaway for this backfield from their Week 9 loss to BAL would be the snap count of the running backs when trailing, something that NE has done just once this season. Sony Michel (downgrade) will not be on the field in passing situations, which is to be expected, but Rex Burkhead was as equally involved as longtime PPR dynamo James White (upgrade). While NE isn’t expected to trail this week, against PHI has been tough sledding for run games this year, so expect White to be an extension of the run game, as they utilize him on quick short passes. PHI is only ceding 15.1 FPPG to RBs - so Sony Michel will need to find paydirt to carry value this week. Burkhead is no more than a desperation flex as long as White is healthy.

Eagles

Opp (NE) Pass DVOA: #2
Opp (NE) Run DVOA: #14
Injuries to Watch DEF (NE): S Patrick Chung (Q) S Nate Ebner (Q) DT Danny Shelton (Q) DE John Simon (Q)
Injuries to Watch OFF (PHI): WR Alshon Jeffery (OUT) RB Darren Sproles (OUT, IR) RB Jordan Howard (Q, GTD)
Key WCB matchups: None. Gilmore was expected to shadow Alshon Jeffery (OUT)
Relevant Target Share %’s (season): Zach Ertz (24%) Alshon Jeffery (24%) Nelson Agholor (17%) Dallas Goedert (12%) Miles Sanders (9%)
RB Snap %/Touches/Targets Week 9: Jordan Howard (48%, 20, 1) Miles Sanders (40%, 13, 3) Darren Sproles (12%, 3, 2)
QB/WTE Breakdown
Philadelphia and Carson Wentz (downgrade) will be without their only fantasy viable wideout, Alshon Jeffery this week. Wentz hasn’t been great from a fantasy perspective this season, sitting as the QB12, and a matchup against perhaps the leagues best defense isn’t the place to call his number - NE is giving up only 9.5 FPPG to QBs, league best.
Without Jeffery, Nelson Agholor, Mack Hollins, and Jordan Matthews will be their top options, but none are usable for fantasy against the league's best secondary - NE is only ceding 12.7 FPPG to wideouts, league best. Sans Jeffery, it’s possible that stud CB Stephon Gilmore shadows the only true receiving threat for the Eagles, Zach Ertz (downgrade). Ertz is sure to be peppered with targets, but the emergence of Dallas Goedert has hurt his ceiling potential. Still, most owners have no choice but to get Ertz active, just be aware it could be a floor game - NE is giving up 4.5 FPPG to TEs, 3rd best.
RB Breakdown
With longtime veteran Darren Sproles (OUT) headed to IR, the Eagles signed another vet in Jay Ajayi. Regardless, he’s no more than a handcuff as he forms the third part of the RBBC with Jordan Howard (downgrade, GTD) and Miles Sanders (downgrade). This week projects as a floor week for the entire PHI offense and they should be avoided if possible. Sanders probably has the highest ceiling due to his involvement in the passing game as he should be utilized in short throws plenty, but he’s no more than a RB3/flex in the tough matchup - NE only gives up 10.5 FPPG to RBs, league best. If Howard sits, Sanders owners can be slightly more confident about firing him up.
Score Prediction: Patriots 28, Eagles 13

Cincinnati Bengals at Oakland Raiders (-10.5)

Bengals ATS: 3-6-0 Raiders ATS: 6-3-0
Projected Team Totals: Bengals 19 Raiders 29.5

Bengals

Opp (OAK) Pass DVOA: #29
Opp (OAK) Run DVOA: #16
Injuries to Watch DEF (OAK): S Lamarcus Joyner (OUT)
Injuries to Watch OFF (CIN): WR AJ Green (OUT) OG Alex Redmond (OUT) OT Bobby Hart (Q)
Key WCB matchups: None
Relevant Target Share %’s (season): Tyler Boyd (25%) Auden Tate (19%) Alex Erickson (10%) Tyler Eifert (10%) Joe Mixon (8%) Gio Bernard (7%)
RB Snap %/Touches/Targets Week 10: Joe Mixon (76%, 32, 3) Gio Bernard (24%, 5, 1)
QB/WTE Breakdown
The Bengals are doing their best to get some additional talent evaluation out of their lost season, and rookie QB Ryan Finley is likely to start the rest of the way barring injury or a complete collapse. Finley did not show well last week, albeit against a quality Ravens’ secondary, and will continue to be without AJ Green for the foreseeable future. Oakland is a great matchup on paper - giving up the 5th most FPPG and sporting a bottom-tier pass DVOA - but it’s not clear that Finley will be able to take advantage of it. He is no more than a desperation QB2 streamer: he could be the start of the week, or end up benched after throwing multiple interceptions. There’s a wide range of possible outcomes here, but at least the matchup is good.
With Green still out, Tyler Boyd (upgrade PPR) should see all the targets he can handle. He struggled a bit against Marlon Humphrey and co. last week, but will get much more favorable matchups this week against Oakland. The Raiders give up the 7th most FPPG to WRs, so Boyd should be viewed as a WR2 with an upgrade in PPR formats. Auden Tate has shown well in his second season in the NFL, but he too fell victim to the Ravens’ secondary. Look for him to bounce back some this week as well, but his ceiling isn’t extremely high with Finley under center and the Bengals seemingly content to run out the clock on this season (literally). View him as a decent flex option considering the potential shootout conditions and his role as the #2 in the passing game. Alex Erickson and Tyler Eifert are not trustworthy fantasy options at this point, and neither should likely be owned outside of extremely deep leagues.
RB Breakdown
Running your young stud RB into walls of defenders 30 times in a blowout loss doesn’t make a ton of sense for a rebuilding team with no offensive line, but there’s a lot that doesn’t make sense with the Bengals this season. Regardless, Joe Mixon (upgrade standard) owners had to be happy to see coach Zac Taylor fully commit to him as the centerpiece of the offense, even in a game that featured negative game flow throughout. His floor and ceiling would be a lot higher if Taylor designed more creative ways to get the ball into his hands (misdirection screens, line him up out wide…) but at least he’s getting touches. The Raiders are somewhat vulnerable on the ground - allowing the 11th most FPPG and ranking bottom-half in DVOA - and the high projected team totals give him decent scoring upside. View Mixon as a volume based RB2 and hope Finley can orchestrate a few scoring drives to get Mixon in position for a TD. Gio Bernard is just a handcuff for Mixon owners, but a valuable one nonetheless.

Raiders

Opp (CIN) Pass DVOA: #32
Opp (CIN) Run DVOA: #29
Injuries to Watch DEF (CIN): CB Dre Kirkpatrick (OUT) DT Geno Atkins (Q)
Injuries to Watch OFF (OAK): OT David Sharpe (OUT) OT Trent Brown (Q)
Key WCB matchups: None
Relevant Target Share %’s (season): Darren Waller (23%) Tyrell Williams (18%) Hunter Renfrow (15%) Ryan Grant (14%)
RB Snap %/Touches/Targets Week 10: Josh Jacobs (52%, 19, 5) Jalen Richard (38%, 6, 4)
QB/WTE Breakdown
Riding a two-game win streak, the Raiders will look to make it three in a row at home, this time against the winless Bengals. Derek Carr (upgrade) has been a game manager in the truest sense of the term this year - he hasn’t thrown for over 300 yards yet this year but has only four interceptions in total. Jon Gruden isn’t asking Carr to do much, but when he’s given Carr the chance to throw downfield the results have generally been positive. This week sets up well: the Bengals have given up the third most FPPG to QBs, and are the worst pass defense and worst defense overall by DVOA metrics. Vegas projects this game to be a shootout, so despite Carr’s somewhat lowered ceiling due to his role in this offense, he’s a high-end QB2 this week in a potential blow-up spot. Owners will just have to hope that Cincinnati does their part to make this a high scoring affair.
Similar to Carr, the Raiders receiving options have been productive, but the volume hasn’t always been there. Darren Waller (upgrade) is a top-5 TE in .5 PPR formats, but hasn’t had a blow up game in a while. This week sets up perfectly for that to change, so make sure he’s in your lineup. Tyrell Williams (upgrade standard) simply doesn’t have much value if he isn’t scoring TDs, but his chances for one this week are strong. View him as a borderline WR2 this week, buoyed by his ability to get in the end zone. In PPR formats, he is more of a WR3. Hunter Renfrow is just a low volume possession receiver, so he’s no more than a TD-dependent WR4/5 this week despite the great matchup.
RB Breakdown
If you play in daily fantasy leagues, Josh Jacobs (upgrade) has to be a top consideration across the board. The Raiders are big home favorites, he’s receiving a solid weekly workload and most red zone work, and the Bengals give up the 3rd most FPPG to RBs. Jalen Richard is still stealing pass game work, but that is more of a concern in games the Raiders will be chasing a lead. This projects to be the exact opposite script, so fire up Jacobs as a solid RB1 this week. Richard is only on the radar in extremely deep PPR leagues, and would likely cede most early down work to DeAndre Washington in the event Jacobs were to miss a game.
Score Prediction: Raiders 31, Bengals 17

Chicago Bears at Los Angeles Rams (-6.5)

Bears ATS: 3-6-0 Rams ATS: 6-3-0
Projected Team Totals: Bears 17 Rams 23.5

Bears

Opp (LAR) Pass DVOA: #16
Opp (LAR) Run DVOA: #3
Injuries to Watch DEF (LAR): CB Darious Williams (OUT)
Injuries to Watch OFF (CHI): TE Trey Burton (OUT) TE Adam Shaheen (OUT) RB David Montgomery (Q)
Key WCB matchups: Allen Robinson vs. Jalen Ramsey (Rotoworld)
Relevant Target Share %’s (season): Allen Robinson (27%) Tarik Cohen (18%) Taylor Gabriel (13%) Anthony Miller (10%)
RB Snap %/Touches/Targets Week 10: David Montgomery (60%, 17, 1) Tarik Cohen (53%, 7, 4)
QB/WTE Breakdown
It took a home matchup against a struggling Lions team without it’s starting QB, but the Bears finally broke their losing streak. Mitchell Trubisky (downgrade) was abysmal in the first half, but managed to put together a solid second half and finished with his second-best fantasy line of the season (19.72 points). Still, the Bears offense has lacked any semblance of rhythm, and Trubisky routinely misses throws that an NFL-starter should make. The Rams present a moderate challenge, and have been an improved pass defense unit with Jalen Ramsey in the fold. Over the last 4 weeks they’ve given up the 9th fewest FPPG, and their pass DVOA is right about league average. The low projected point totals suggest this may be a grind-it-out game between two teams whose offenses are not playing well at the moment, so Trubisky remains no more than a low-end QB2 this week.
Working as Trubisky’s top option in Matt Nagy’s broken offense has made it tough for Allen Robinson (downgrade) to produce up to his potential this year. This week he’ll likely face shadow coverage from one of the league’s best corners, Jalen Ramsey. Just last week, Ramsey proved he will travel into the slot when he followed Juju Smith-Schuster all game long. His coverage has been nothing short of lockdown, so Robinson is in danger of being the next victim. His best shot is if the Rams have success on offense, forcing the Bears into a high volume of passing, which might offset efficiency concerns. Consider Robinson a risky WR3, albeit one who does have the requisite talent to beat Ramsey for a big play or two. If Trubisky can get it to him that is. Avoid Taylor Gabriel and Anthony Miller unless you are in an extremely deep league and just going for a low odds lottery ticket. If forced to do so, Gabriel is by far the better option, as his big play ability has actually allowed him to produce a few decent lines this season. Trey Burton was placed on IR this week, so owners can continue to ignore the TE position here.
RB Breakdown
I think Matt Nagy just doesn’t want us to have fun things. David Montgomery (ankle, Q) entered last week with significant momentum and an excellent matchup, but managed only 60 scoreless yards on 17 carries and got only one target in the pass game. To add injury to insult, he’s now questionable to play after “lightly” rolling his ankle in practice this week. The late evening kickoff makes Monty a risky start unless you have a plug-n-play MNF option, and the matchup against the Rams elite rush defense makes things even riskier. If he does end up sitting, it would theoretically open up a few more touches for Tarik Cohen (upgrade PPR). Nagy is unlikely to run him up the middle 15+ times (you never know though), but the pass catching should give him a solid floor. View Cohen as a low-end flex option if Monty plays, and more of an RB2/3 if he doesn’t. Obviously, Cohen’s value is higher in PPR leagues. If Montgomery does play, he’s a risky RB2 with the workload concern and difficult matchup.

Rams

Opp (CHI) Pass DVOA: #7
Opp (CHI) Run DVOA: #12
Injuries to Watch DEF (CHI): LB Isaiah Irving (OUT) LB Danny Trevathan (OUT)
Injuries to Watch OFF (LAR): WR Brandin Cooks (OUT) OT Rob Havenstein (OUT) TE Gerald Everett (Q) TE Tyler Higbee (Q) Johnny Mundt (Q)
Key WCB matchups: None
Relevant Target Share %’s (season): Cooper Kupp (25%) Robert Woods (20%) Gerald Everett (16%) Todd Gurley (8%)
RB Snap %/Touches/Targets Week 10: Todd Gurley (74%, 12, 4) Malcolm Brown (16%, 5, 0) Darrell Henderson (10%, 4, 0)
QB/WTE Breakdown
Life comes at you fast in the NFL. One minute the Rams were contending for a super bowl with a roster full of young stars seemingly at the peak of their talents for years to come. Only nine months later, things look entirely different. Jared Goff (downgrade) has looked horrendous this year, and whether it’s due to defensive adjustments, the lack of a game-changing RB, or just a player being exposed for what he really is, there are serious questions about whether Goff looks like an NFL-starting QB at the moment. The Bears are not the same fearsome pass defense unit they were last year - 13th most FPPG to QBs but 7th best DVOA - but they still present a challenge. Goff should likely be on benches for one of the lower projected scoring matchups of the week, although at least he’s playing at home where he’s been much better in his career. Consider him a mid to low-end QB2 until we see signs of life, and look for a more attractive streamer if at all possible this week.
The Rams receiving corps will go to battle without the services of Brandin Cooks (concussion) again this weekend. There is legitimate concern about whether he’ll be able to play again this year considering the multitude of concussion related issues he’s faced. Cooper Kupp was shockingly held to zero catches last week, and it’s a sign of just how bad Goff was last week that Kupp was unable to register a single catch. Kupp’s chemistry with Goff is simply too good to be stopped again this week, so he’s due for a bounce-back. The matchup is tough - the Bears have given up the 5th fewest FPPG to WRs - but we know Kupp can get his regardless of the opponent. Robert Woods put up a solid 7-95 line last week, but he has overall been a disappointment for owners that likely drafted him earlier than Kupp. Goff is known for playing much better at home than on the road, so both Kupp and Woods should be in lineups this week. Kupp is a solid WR2, with an obvious upgrade in PPR leagues, and Woods is on the WR2/3 borderline due in part to the tough matchup. Gerald Everett has been the top TE for the Rams this year, and looks likely to play through his questionable tag. Tyler Higbee is less likely to suit up, based on media reports, and his absence would give Everett a nice target boost. The Bears are actually quite vulnerable to TEs- 5th most FPPG allowed - so Everett is a back-end TE1 this week. Just be aware the floor for everyone in this passing game is lowered by Goff’s abysmal play of late, although playing at home seemingly offsets that to some extent.
RB Breakdown
The Rams offense may have hit rock-bottom in last week’s loss to the Steelers. Todd Gurley was relatively efficient in his limited touches (12-73), but his lack of passing game work and limited scoring opportunities have really limited his value this year. It’s unwise to expect a much heavier workload this week, so Gurley is no more than a low floor RB2 this week, with a downgrade in PPR leagues. The Bears give up the 9th most FPPG to RBs, so there is some room for the Rams to get their run game going. Malcolm Brown is the handcuff for Gurley, while rookie Darrell Henderson is getting only the occasional carry or target. Neither is on the fantasy radar as long as Gurley is leading the backfield.
Score Prediction: Rams 20, Bears 16

Kansas City Chiefs (-3.5) at Los Angeles Chargers (Mexico City)

Chiefs ATS: 5-5-0 Chargers ATS: 3-5-2
Projected Team Totals: Chiefs 27.75 Chargers 24.25

Chiefs

Opp (LAC) Pass DVOA: #21
Opp (LAC) Run DVOA: #26
Injuries to Watch DEF (LAC): None
Injuries to Watch OFF (KC): TE Blake Bell (D)
Key WCB matchups: None
Relevant Target Share %’s (season): Tyreek Hill (24%) Sammy Watkins (23%) Travis Kelce (21%) Demarcus Robinson (12%) Mecole Hardman (9%) Damien Williams (9%)
RB Snap %/Touches/Targets Week 10: Damien Williams (73%, 24, 5) Darrel Williams (21%, 3, 1) Darwin Thompson (6%, 2, 1)
QB/WTE Breakdown
Coming off a surprising loss to the Tennessee Titans, Patrick Mahomes (upgrade) and crew will look to get back on track against the maddeningly inconsistent Chargers. The Bolts have not been good on defense this year, yet despite ranking in the bottom half for Pass DVOA, have only given up 14.2 FPPG to QBs. That’s likely to change, as the Chargers haven’t faced the league's most explosive passing offense yet, and this game carries the highest projected point total of Week 11. Fire up Mahomes as usual.
Tyreek Hill (upgrade) converted a career-high 19 targets into 11-157-1 last week, and he has routinely burned stud CB Casey Hayward and the Chargers to the tune of seven touchdowns in six career games against the Bolts (Rotoworld). Fire him as top-2 option at WR - despite LAC only ceding 17.9 FPPG to wideouts. Sammy Watkins continues to receive plenty of targets (17 in last 3 games), and owners can treat him as an upside WR3 - he’s only had one blowup game this season, but that should change in a hurry as he and Kansas City are at full strength again. Demarcus Robinson played a full-time role in the offensive in Week 10, and his field stretching ability along with rookie Mecole Hardman only make this offense more explosive. Both are hard to trust as they live on the deep ball, but if you are in a pinch both could be used as desperation WR4/5’s, just know their floor is zero. Continue to fire up Travis Kelce as a TE1.
RB Breakdown
With LeSean McCoy a healthy scratch in Week 10, Damien Williams (upgrade) has resumed his role as the lead dog in the KC backfield. He handled 24 total touches last week, and if that continues he’ll make his way back into the RB1 conversation. The Bolts have been atrocious against the run, giving up 21.5 FPPG to RBs and ranking bottom 10 in Run DVOA. Fire up Williams as an upside RB2. Darrel Williams looks to be Damien’s handcuff, but isn’t much of a stash due to the involvement of the other running backs. In the event of a Damien Williams injury, it’s anyone’s guess who would take over, making Darryl an unappealing stash.

Chargers

Opp (KC) Pass DVOA: #5
Opp (KC) Run DVOA: #31
Injuries to Watch DEF (KC): DE Emmanuel Ogbah (OUT) DE Alex Okafor (Q)
Injuries to Watch OFF (LAC): WR Geremy Davis (D) RB Justin Jackson (D) OT Russell Okung (Q) OT Sam Tevi (OUT)
Key WCB matchups: None
Relevant Target Share %’s (season): Keenan Allen (26%) Hunter Henry (22%) Austin Ekeler (17%) Mike Williams (17%) Melvin Gordon (10%)
RB Snap %/Touches/Targets Week 10: Melvin Gordon (58%, 23, 1) Austin Ekeler (42%, 8, 2)
QB/WTE Breakdown
The Chargers have been one of the most difficult teams to predict this season, following up a Week 9 upset of the vaunted Green Bay Packers with a loss to the surging Raiders - a game that they controlled for much of the first half but were never able to put away. Phillip Rivers (downgrade) has honestly looked washed in recent weeks, and it’s hurting the production of Keenan Allen and Mike Williams. KC has been great against the pass, and Rivers can’t be trusted as more than a low-end QB1. With the game expected to have negative game-script for the Chargers, their usual 4th quarter comeback could fuel the volume to keep him in the QB1 conversation. Allen and Williams both have winnable matchups facing Charvarius Ward (PPF No. 27 ranked CB), Kenall Fuller (No. 57), Morris Claiborne (No. 64) and Bashaud Breeland (No. 119) (Rotoworld). Still, the Chargers have the No. 21 scoring offense, and will likely look to establish the run. Since returning from injury, Hunter Henry has been the preferred option in this passing game. Continue to fire him up as a TE1.
RB Breakdown
Finally looking like his old self, Melvin Gordon (upgrade) has worked his way back into the RB1 conversation. The only problem is that Austin Ekeler (upgrade PPR) has taken almost all of the passing game work. If the Chargers manage to establish the run and stay in this game, it could be a very productive week for Gordon. That being said, if they fall behind quickly, Ekeler should have his hands full. Either way, both running backs can be treated as RB2’s, with Gordon getting the edge due to his goal line opportunities.
Score Prediction: Chiefs 31, Chargers 20

bathrobeDFS - Daily Analysis for April 4th (NBA)

Hello, everyone! bathrobeDFS here with your daily basketball article. I will go over tonight’s slate as someone that plays on Draftkings. If you have any additional questions or want to see guaranteed updates in regards to breaking news- I provide additional updates, information, and stats on my twitter @bathrobeDFS. Feel free to throw me a follow cause it’s much easier and more timely to provide updates over that medium. I also have a Venmo and Patreon for those that want to donate.
I also strongly suggest joining us on Flick. It’s a live chat app that allows me, and a wonderful group of people, to deal with news as it happens, talk about the slate, share lineups, and break things down in a way I simply can’t on any other medium. It is also invite only, so there are no trolls and only good, helpful people talking all different sports, all day, every day.. If you want to join us there, Download the Flick App and send me a message so I can get you an invite. That’s it! Free and easy!
It also should go without saying, this is just a preliminary analysis of the slate: everything can change throughout the day, so make sure you are staying on top of any and all injury news and change your lineups accordingly!
Vegas Lines

MIL/PHI - 230, MIL -5
CLE/SAC - 228.5, SAC -9.5
GS/LAL - 227.5, GS -13

Tonight’s Slate
A quick, easy 3 game slate. One amazing game and 2 potential blowouts. Let’s see what we can find and put together.
Situations to take advantage of (injury news, etc.) - Basically, in chronological order
Bucks vs Sixers

Injury News: MIL: Middleton PROBABLE, Ilyasova PROBABLE, Snell OUT, Gasol OUT
Injury News: PHI: Reddick IN, Butler OUT, Embiid QUESTIONABLE, Ennis OUT

Analysis
On a bad 3 gamer, this is the cream of the crop. It has the highest total AND is expected to stay the closest. Of course, with this injury news for PHI that could change drastically. I am hoping to wait for some kind of news before I put this out, but I strongly doubt that will happen. We might be looking at some gamesmanship here - Philly resting the starters against a playoff opponent. We have to see. So let’s take a look:
It all comes down to how many Sixers are out. If all 3 are out, I don’t expect this game to stay anywhere near close. That being said, Simmons (9100) and Harris (7000) would be great plays, since they would eat up most of the production on this team. But, again, how can you think a Bucks team playing at full strength (minus Brogdon, obviously) doesn’t pull away. If everyone for Philly misses, apart from taking some GPP chances on the expensive people (3 game slate…), I would take a lot of the cheaper people who would get backup/blowout run - from both teams. That means PatCon (4900), Hill (3400), Wilson (3900), Scott (3400), TJ (3500), Shake (3000), and Bolden (4600). I would expect all of these dudes to get serious run. Again, this is only if all Sixers are out.
I will also say that I don’t really think Redick makes a huge deal to this slate. Butler and Embiid are significant, though. If one of them plays and the other misses, I will have no problem assuming this game stays close. So now, with Butler out, the entirety of how to attack this slate will come down to the health of Embiid (10200) since BroLo should be no match for him. Like I said earlier, if Embiid is out, I don’t want any of the real expensive people in this game. If Embiid does play, I would love Giannis (11100) because he would run this Bucks team in a playoff environment. With Butler out, there is no one who will be able to contain Giannis. I don’t like either of the matchups for Bledsoe vs. Simmons, both of whom are great defenders, so I will focus on the other more expensive plays in Giannis and Embiid and then build around that.
Cavs vs Kings

Injury News: CLE: Love OUT, Tristan OUT, Delly OUT
Injury News: SAC: Giles OUT

Analysis
So, if all of those Sixers miss, I will consider this the game of the night. Given the pricing and everything else, it still may be. Plus, the Kings are a much better team at home, so I don’t mind going there en masse.
The first thing we have to note is that, without Love and Tristan, we know 2 things (generally speaking) - First, Nance (6300), Zizic (3500), Cedi (5400) and Chriss (3300) are going to get some serious run, and would all be fantastic plays. I expect Nance to be chalk (as you know, I refuse to check ownership projections until I’m done with this part of the article), but I would be totally fine playing both Chriss and Zizic in order to fit in the expensive plays from the MIL/PHI game (should that be an option). If MIL/PHI isn’t an option, I would be a big fan of taking Nance as well as exploiting SAC’s weakness against guards with Sexton (6200) and Clarkson (5700). Both of these guys get a huge boost with Love out as it is, but I will be going more stars/scrubs, again, if the PHI guys all play meaning I won’t be able to get really good mid ranged plays like this.
If I am going to stack this game up, I am going to start on Fox (7200) who gets a dream matchup against Sexton and Clarkson, 2 of the worst PG defenders in the NBA (2nd and 3rd worst). I would also love Hield (6900) for the same reason. These are the two players I think have the best chance for minutes and production from a very deep Kings team that may not need a full 4 quarters. I still expect these 2 to get 28-30 minutes at a minimum, which is awesome against the Cavs. With Giles out for the rest of the season, and drawing the start against a horrible Nance Defense, I think Bjelica (4300) is also worth a play no matter what. He’s way, way too cheap for the 2x2 he’s going to put up tonight. I think most other plays on the Kings are slightly underpriced, but no one that stands out as dramatically as those 3. You can always play Bagley (6400), especially in a GPP with his upside. You can take a chance that Barnes (4500) will have a game where he doesn’t defer the whole time and pays off his price. But I will just stick to those main plays.
Warriors vs Lakers

Injury News: GS: Livingston OUT, Bogut OUT
Injury News: LAL: Kuzma QUESTIONABLE, Chandler QUESTIONABLE

Talk about a game that has no chance to stay close. Yuck. The Lakers play incredibly fast without any D. The Warriors are going to face absolutely no resistance on the perimeter and I would be surprised if this game isn’t over by the half. On a 3 game slate, where people are going to be scared to mostly fade 1 game, that is how I am going to separate myself tonight. Well, apart from cheap people, of course. If you want to play the “never bet on a blow out game”, go right on ahead. I expect most people will go that route tonight. Though I’ll find out for sure in a few minutes.
If you want to go anywhere on GS, take Curry (8900) and Klay (6100) first. Curry because LAL is weakest in the NBA against PGs and Klay because, even if he gets 3 quarters of run, he should be able to outperform that price tag without too much issue. I would also not mind taking a chance on Cousins (7100), who can play as hard as he wants tonight since he has already been declared out for tomorrow’s game. Still, with the season ending and this game like a scrimmage, I don’t know how expensive I want to get. Also, you should know that the Warriors keep a deep enough bench that, even with Livingston and Bogut out, the people that get back up run and the people that get blow out run are normally different, so you can’t even go there.
On the Lakers side, if Kuzma misses, there’s no chance for this team. Still, there’s going to be points scored and they have to come from somewhere. If Chandler is out, you can still take a chance on JaVale (6700), but I will stick to the cheap people - Wagner (4200), Stephenson (4600), and Williams (3300) if you want a deep, deep GPP play.
Chalk Talk
Let’s start this off by saying that “ownership projections” are, at best, educated guesses. They are often wrong by double digits. They can be used as a guide, but only as one person’s opinion on what it will look like. IF YOU THINK SOMEONE WILL BE HIGHER OR LESS OWNED, THERE IS NOTHING WRONG WITH TRUSTING YOUR GUT
Highest Owned Plays
Giannis (40.7%)
Rondo (38%)
Barnes (36.8%)
Cousins (36.5%)
Redick (33.6%)
Nance (31.3%)
Simmons (30.1%)
Most Surprising Ownership Projections
Embiid (8.4%)
Zizic (8.8%)
Chriss (12.8%)
Cedi (11.8%)
WCS (5200 - 12%)
Sexton (14.9%)
Clarkson (15.1%)
Low Priced Punts currently projected to get 5x value - With Name (Price - Ownership - Projected Score)
Today, punt means 4500 and under.
Barnes (4500 - 36.8% - 33.8DKP)
Bullock (3600 - 9.1% - 26.4DKP)
Nwaba (3400 - 8.9% - 20.9DKP)
Knight (3600 - 11.3% - 21.6DKP)
Bjelica (4300 - 17.4% - 25.8DKP)
Chriss (3300 - 12.8% - 18.6DKP)
Brown (4400 - 13.3% - 23.9DKP)
Wagner (4200 - 16.4% - 22.4DKP)
Scott (3400 - 10% - 17.7DKP)
Alright! That’s it for today! I hope I laid it out well enough that you can make decisions when the final news breaks. Best of luck everyone!!!

The Rookie Report: Week 15 Starts & Sits

Disclaimer: This is not a WDIS post, discussion about these players is welcomed but any general WDIS posts belong in WDIS threads specifically. Thanks for reading!
You can read the original article by Shawn Foss from drinkfive.com here - http://drinkfive.com/fantasy-football-nfl/item/175-rookie-report-week-15-starts-sits
Welcome back to the Rookie Report! Hopefully you were luckier than I was last week and weren't saddled with both Peyton Manning and Demaryius Thomas's soul crushing fantasy let downs. Hopefully you survived another week. The rookies played a huge role last week, especially guys like Odell Beckham Jr. and Mike Evans. Martavis Bryant wasn't too shabby either, recording the longest play from scrimmage of the season. So which rookies are worth trusting with everything on the line again this week? Let's dive in and find out...
Rookies to Start:
RB Isaiah Crowell, CLE (Wk. 15: vs. Cin.): Crowell had a passable fantasy day in week 14, finding the end zone for the 8th time in his rookie campaign, but again he split the workload fairly evenly with Terrance West. There's some risk to starting Crowell as long as West is around, but he's still the better option of the duo, and the threat of Johnny Manziel running should open up all kinds of running lanes for the Crow. I'd feel comfortable firing him up as an RB2 against a Bengals' defense that allows the 4th most points to opposing RBs.
WR Odell Beckham Jr., NYG (Wk. 15: vs. Was.): This one isn't rocket science. He's got 90+ yards in 6 straight games and 3 TDs in his last 3 games. The Redskins' defense has been burned repeatedly this year, and Beckham will likely burn them multiple times this week. He's got WR1 upside.
WR Mike Evans, TB (Wk. 15: @Car.): Evans continued to show off his considerable talents in week 14, catching 2 TDs against the stingy Lions' secondary. Carolina's defense is not nearly as stingy, and Evans has 8 TDs over the last 6 games. I expect he finds the end zone again this week, and there is no reason he should be on your bench.
WR Kelvin Benjamin, CAR (Wk. 15: vs. TB): Although KB has been thoroughly inconsistent, he remains a solid WR2. There's a lot of boom or bust potential, but Benjamin scores touchdowns so often you'd have to have elite options to play instead in order to sit Kelvin this week. He burned Tampa for a 6-92-1 line the first time these teams faced off.
WR Martavis Bryant, PIT (Wk. 15: @Atl.): Bryant is a boom or bust play as usual, but the arrow is pointing way up this week. The Falcons just got shredded by the Packers' pass attack on Monday night, and they are one of the five worst defenses in the league against fantasy wideouts. Bryant only needs one big play to be worth a lineup spot, and there's a good chance he gets that this week.
WR Jordan Matthews, PHI (Wk. 15: vs. Dal.): Matthews didn't do much last week against the Seahawks, but that's because Mark Sanchez threw for less than 100 yards against an incredible defense. Things should be better this week. He caught 4 balls for 51 yards and a TD when the Eagles went to Dallas on Thanksgiving, and I wouldn't be surprised if he exceeds that stat line this week. The Dallas defense will look like a college team in comparison to the defense the Eagles just faced.
Borderline Rookies:
QB Johnny Manziel, CLE (WK. 15: @Cin.): Johnny Football has finally gotten the nod to start at QB for the Browns. The Manziel era has arrived! Should we be excited for his first start? The jury's still out on that. He will face a tough passing defense, but his running ability will give him the chance to put together an okay fantasy day. It's almost impossible to predict how Manziel is going to do, but if you feel like rolling the dice as a low end QB2, there's certainly upside.
RB Tre Mason, STL (Wk. 15 vs. Ari.): Mason runs into a brutal matchup with the Cardinals, at least on paper, but the Cards' D has softened against the run over the past 2 weeks. Jamaal Charles and washed up Steven Jackson both had strong days against them. Mason should be a strong bet for 60+ yards and should be on the RB2 radar.
RB Jeremy Hill, CIN (Wk. 15: vs. Cle.): This week is a must win game for the Bengals, and if they're smart, they'll force feed the ball to Hill. The Browns' biggest weakness is their run defense, and Joe Haden has consistently gotten the better of A.J. Green. Hill saw a near even split of the carries with Gio Bernard just a week after questioning OC Hue Jackson's play calling. He still averaged over 5 yards per carry on his touches while Bernard had just 17 yards on 6 carries. Hill is at least a reasonable flex-play, but if the Bengals run the ball as much as they should, Hill could end up a high end RB2.
RB Terrance West, CLE (Wk. 15: @Cin.): He doesn't have nearly the upside that Crowell does this week, but as long as West is seeing close to half the carries, he still has flex appeal. The threat of Manziel's running will open up lanes for West the same as it will for Crowell.
RB Andre Williams, NYG (Wk. 15: vs. Was.): Williams is coming off his best game as a pro, but that was against the awful Titans. The Redskins are awful as well, but they are stout against the run. If Jennings is expected to be out or extremely limited again, Williams will have some low-end flex appeal, but I wouldn't expect nearly the output he managed in week 14. I'd expect 60-70 yards and a TD to be his ceiling this week if he gets the start, but it's sounding like Jennings might be close to full strength for this one. Pay attention to the updates throughout the week.
WR Sammy Watkins, BUF (Wk. 15: vs. GB): Watkins finally got back on track last week, even if a lot of the damage came in garbage time as the Bills scrambled to make it close. The Bills' offense had little to no downfield passing game for the few weeks before the Broncos game, but they should again have ample garbage time against the Packers' juggernaut offense. Watkins has shown himself to be a risky play of late, but he has a ton of upside as a WR3 this week.
WR Jarvis Landry, MIA (Wk. 15: @NE): It's a tough matchup this week with the Pats' formidable corners, but he's had 5+ catches and 40+ yards in each of his past 6 games. I'd expect that to be the floor again this week, which makes him a high floor, low upside WR3 in PPR this week.
WR Donte Moncrief, IND (Wk. 15: vs. Hou.): Moncrief has a chance to blow up over the next few games. Reggie Wayne may have a torn tricep, and he might be shut down for the rest of the season before long. Moncrief is already ahead of Hakeem Nicks on the depth chart, playing 50 snaps to Nicks's 18. Even if Wayne plays this week, Moncrief has killer upside against the worst defense in the league against WRs. If Reggie sits, Donte has WR2 upside the rest of the way this season.
WR Marqise Lee, JAX (Wk. 15: @Bal.): Lee has settled in as a PPR WR3 in each of the past 2 weeks, and now gets to face a battered Ravens' secondary that has allowed 26.5 points per game to opposing WRs, tied with the Texans for most in the NFL. Lee should again be a solid WR3 option in PPR leagues, and should be in standard leagues with 12+ teams as well.
Rookies to Sit:
QB Teddy Bridgewater, MIN (Wk. 15: @Det.): Bridgewater has finally showed the ability to produce in plus matchups, putting up 2 TDs in 4 straight games and just eclipsed 300 yards passing against the Jets in week 14. Unfortunately for Teddy, he gets to face the Lions this week. The first time around, he threw for just 188 yards, no TDs and 3 picks, and that was at home. This one's in Detroit. I wouldn't expect a much improved performance.
QB Derek Carr, OAK (Wk. 15: @KC): Carr put up his second game of the season with 3+ TDs last week, and it was something no one saw coming. I don't expect a repeat this week. The Chiefs will be itching to get their hands on Carr in Arrowhead after what happened when the teams met in Oakland. Carr will struggle to get going in this one. There's no reason to trust Carr at Arrowhead.
RB Bishop Sankey, TEN (Wk. 15: vs. NYJ): To put it simply, you can do better. Sankey's role has actually been shrinking of late, and I don't expect the trend to reverse this week against the stout Jets' defense. Sankey hasn't made himself much of a part of the passing game, and he'd be hard pressed to approach 50 yards on the ground.
RB Alfred Blue, HOU (Wk. 15: @Ind.): Blue vultured a TD from Arian Foster last week, but there's no reason to get excited. He gained just 15 yards on 9 carries against a bad defense. At this point he's nothing more than a Foster handcuff.
RB Charles Sims, TB (Wk. 15: @Car.): There just aren't enough touches coming his way to trust him with your season on the line this week. He got a season-low 6 touches against the Lions, and I'm not sure he'll see much more than that this week. He's topped 50 yards just once, and there is no reason to expect that to change this week.
RB Jerick McKinnon, MIN (Wk. 15: @Det.): McKinnon hasn't played in a couple weeks, but I'd expect him to suit up this week. It doesn't mean there's a place for him in your lineup [Editor's Note: McKinnon has since been placed on IR]. The Lions are the 3rd best defense in the league at limiting RB fantasy production, and there's no reason to think McKinnon will suddenly go off in his return from injury. He still hasn't scored a TD all year.
RB Juwan Thompson, DEN (Wk. 15: @SD): Don't chase last week's stats with Thompson. Sure he had more rushing yards than C.J. Anderson, but he touched the ball just 5 times all game, and Anderson scored all 3 touchdowns. Expect Thompson's numbers to fall off a cliff this week.
RB Carlos Hyde, SF (Wk. 15: @Sea.): I was wrong when I thought Hyde would have a surprisingly good game when the 49ers hosted the Seahawks at Levis Stadium. I won't make the same mistake as the 49ers head to Seattle. The 'Hawks are a different animal at home, and have been dominant of late on the defensive side of the ball. I wouldn't risk playing Hyde in any format.
WR Davante Adams, GB (Wk. 15: @Buf.): Adams predictably came back to earth after a huge game in prime time against New England. As long as Jordy and Cobb are able to get open, Davante is left fighting for scraps. The Bills are a slight upgrade at corner from what Atlanta offered. but they aren't in the same league as the Pats. Expect another quiet day for Adams unless he finds paydirt.
WR John Brown, ARI (Wk. 15: @StL.): Brown was held catchless on 4 targets last week, and I'm not optimistic about his outlook this week either. He does his best work on the deep ball, but Stanton will need time to throw deep, and I doubt he gets it against the Rams' ferocious pass rush. St. Louis has the 7th most sacks in the NFL (35), and all but one of them have come since week 7. The odds of Brown getting loose for a deep one are really not good.
TEs Jace Amaro, NYJ (Wk.15: @Ten.), Austin Seferian-Jenkins, TB (Wk. 15: @Car.), and Eric Ebron, DET (Wk. 15: vs. Min.): Not one rookie TE is worth playing this week. Amaro still hasn't been cleared from his concussion and ASJ is uncertain with injury this week as well. I wouldn't have any faith that they'll even play, and even less that they produce if the do. Ebron, meanwhile, has been putting up between 20 and 30 scoreless yards each week. This week he faces off with the Vikings, who allow less than 5 TE fantasy points per week. There's no reason to expect a breakout.
Deep League Sleepers:
QB Blake Bortles, JAX (Wk. 15: @Bal.): Bortles has quietly cut down on his interceptions, throwing just 4 picks in his last 5 games after averaging 2 per game over the first 6 contests, and he's also continued to give his numbers a boost with his legs, averaging 28 yards per game on the ground. This week he gets a really brutal Ravens' secondary, and is a solid bet to throw multiple TDs for just the 3rd time all year. He's certainly risky, but if you're desperate this week for a QB2, you could certainly do worse.
RB Lorenzo Taliaferro, BAL (Wk. vs. Jax.): ZoBot finally got back into the mix in the Ravens' running game last week, and there's a decent chance they play from ahead in this one. It would have to be a really deep league to give Taliaferro a try this week, but there is upside for 50+ yards and a TD if things break right.
WR Allen Hurns, JAX (Wk. 14: @Bal.): Hurns makes it a trio of sleepers in the Jags-Ravens game. I mentioned that the Ravens' secondary is really bad, and Hurns has shown the ability to get deep for scores (at least in a couple games). There is a ton of risk in playing Hurns, but he's got great upside if you're really desperate. He could be a really fun option in daily leagues or if your out of the playoffs and your league still does a high score pool each week.
That's all I've got for this week. Hopefully it helps secure you a spot in the championship. Be extra diligent in staying on top of injury updates this week and double check the lineup before the games get started. As always, good luck, trust your gut, and have fun. It's just a game.
Original article by Shawn Foss from drinkfive.com - http://drinkfive.com/fantasy-football-nfl/item/175-rookie-report-week-15-starts-sits - Follow drinkfive (@drinkfive) and Shawn Foss (@shawn_foss) on Twitter for more insight and/or for your lineup questions.

I have been a matched betting enthusiast for years and now I am teaching it for free to everyone.

Hey beermoneyukers!
After years working in my 9-5 job as a website developer for a large corporation I decided I could not face selling my soul any longer lols and packed in my job.
Since then, I had a stint working as a freelancer whilst also making a healthy side income via matched betting. And over the past 9 months I’ve been building a website that teaches people how to do the same.
There are a lot of websites out there that teach matched betting, but most require a monthly subscription and most have long articles that can be a bit dry and hard to follow.
So instead, I built a website, Team Profit, that:
Is completely free
Uses animated video guides to teach people (link)
Has infographics to accompany all video guides
Provides step by step guides for 25+ bookmaker offer which will make you £600+ risk free (link)
I have amended the video script over 50 times to try to make it as concise and helpful as possible, hopefully they are a good watch!
Any feedback on the videos, guides, blog or anything else, please let me know, I spend every day adding new content and improving existing content.
If you are thinking of learning matched betting and making £600+ risk free, please check it out!
www.teamprofit.com

MEGA FAQs GUIDE TO MATCHED BETTING

The video guides I posted above will teach you everything about matched betting.
However, I figure no harm in me writing down everything I know about matched betting in an FAQ style layout. Hopefully this will be useful to you.
I have tried to answer every question as concise as possible / no rambling :D
I have split the FAQs into the following sections:

INTRODUCTION
1) What exactly is matched betting and how I do make money risk free?
2) How popular is matched betting?
3) Does it involve gambling?
4) How much money will I need to start?
5) How much time will it take me to learn matched betting?

OFFERS & YOUR PROFIT
1) How much money can I make matched betting from the welcome offers (new customer only)?
2) How much is a free bet worth in actual cash profit?
3) After I have finished the Welcome Offers, how much money can I make matched betting each month from Daily Offers (existing customer offers)?
4) What type of Daily Offers are available?

BOOKMAKERS AND BETTING EXCHANGES
1) Which bookmakers have the best welcome offers?
2) Which bookmakers have the best offers for existing customers?
3) What is mug betting?
4) What is a betting exchange?
5) How do we use a betting exchange?

ADDRESSING COMMON CONCERNS
1) How sustainable is matched betting?
2) Will it impact my credit rating?
3) Do the bookmakers have terms to stop customers from withdrawing?
4) Do I need to know about sports?

WHICH WEBSITES TEACH MATCHED BETTING - YOUR OPTIONS
1) Where can you learn matched betting?

ADDITIONAL FAQS
1) Depositing and withdrawing
2) Sending identification documents
Any questions that haven’t been answered please add a comment and I’ll add the FAQ and answer.

INTRODUCTION

1) What exactly is matched betting and how I do make money risk free?
There are more than 25 online bookmakers in the UK. In order to attract new customers, they each offer free bets, known as ‘Welcome Offers’.
In total they offer over £800 in free bets to new customers.
In order to receive the free bet, bookmakers require you to place your first bet. An example offer is ‘Bet £5, Get £20 free bet’.
The risk is that you could lose both the £5 bet (your own cash) and the £20 free bet.
By using a technique called matched betting, we remove this risk.
This is because we match our first £5 bet on the bookmaker with a £5 bet on a betting exchange on the opposite outcome (this is known as a ‘lay bet’).
For example, we bet £5 on Man Utd to win on the bookmaker, and £5 on Man Utd not to win on the betting exchange.
As we have now bet on all outcomes, regardless of whether Man Utd win, draw or lose, we will neither win nor lose money. However, we have received the £20 free bet!
With the £20 free bet, we can now repeat this process by betting on say Liverpool to win on the bookmaker and Liverpool not to win.
This time, because we are using a £20 free bet but our winnings are paid out in cash, we will always make a profit.
We repeat this process for 25+ bookmakers, one by one. In total we can convert the £800+ in free bets to over £600+ in actual cash profit, in very little time at all.

2) How popular is matched betting?
Matched betting isn’t new and has been around since at least 2005.
However, it is only since 2015 that it has really increased in popularity due to the rise of websites teaching matched betting. You can see this trend here: Google Trends Link
By looking at the various matched betting sites popularity, a reasonable estimate is at least 25,000 people in the UK are matched betters. You can see a review of sites that teach matched betting in the ‘Which websites teach matched betting?’ section below.

3) Does it involving gambling?
This is the most common assumption with matched betting. You’d be forgiven for thinking that it did involve gambling simply because the name ‘matched betting’ would suggest it did.
However, matched betting does not involve gambling, you will never be risking a penny.
Because we are always covering the opposite outcome occurring, there is never any risk we will lose money. Furthermore, we still receive the free bets which we will where we make our profit.
The profitability and risk free nature of matched betting has been reviewed in the Daily Telegraph and the Guardian

4) How much will I need to start?
You can start with as little as you want, however the lowest I would recommend starting with would be £25.
With £25, you can start your first bookmaker welcome offer and make a deposit into your first betting exchange, meaning you can start making a profit.
For more details, see this Starting with £25 guide.
The downside, with only £25 you are restricted by having to wait for withdrawals before you can move onto the next offer.
Therefore, I would say an optimal amount to have available for your cash flow would be in the region of £200 as this allows you to complete multiple welcome offers simultaneously.

5) How long will it take me to learn matched betting?
To learn the principles of matched betting, it will take up to 20 minutes.
To become familiar with completing your first offer, I would set aside another 30-60 minutes so you can take your time and ensure you are completing it correctly.
For example, the video guides on Team Profit last a total of 21 minutes (8 minutes for the explainers videos and 13 minutes to watch the step-by-step real time example). Although they last just 21 minutes, some users watch certain parts of the video again to become comfortable with the process.
It is very much recommended to avoid trying to learn matched betting by yourself. There are thousands of experienced matched betters who can help you. For more details on this, see the ‘Which Websites Teach Matched Betting’ section.
If you need any help anytime, please do comment in this Reddit thread and I’ll help you out.

OFFERS

1)How much money can I make matched betting from the welcome offers (new customer only)?
From the welcome offer, you can make approximately £1,000 cash profit.
There are 25+ bookmaker offers available on sports for at least £600 profit. These are relatively straightforward offers and good value in terms of time to complete. It would take around 12 hours to complete these offers, which works around £40 / hour tax free. You can complete them over any time period you like.
There are at least another 5 bookmaker offers, such as Bet365 and BetVictor, though these require more time, you could make around £100 to £200. They require more time because the bookmaker requires you to bet many more times before you can withdraw.
Plus 20+ offers across casino and bingo, though some are not risk free and typically take more time to complete, but you should be able to make at least £200 profit from these offers.
So overall, there is an easy £600 profit risk free, then up to another £400 if it’s worth your time to do them.

2) How much is a free bet worth in actual cash profit?
A £10 free bet is worth between £5 to £8 in actual cash profit.
The reason for the range is because the higher odds you choose for your free bet, the more actual cash profit you will make.
For example, if you bet on a football team with odds of 2.0, the £10 free bet will convert to around £5 cash profit. Whereas if you bet on a football team that is unlikely to win, with odds of say 6.0, the £10 free bet will convert to around £8 cash profit.
Note though, the higher odds you choose, the more you will need in your betting exchange account in case the bet wins. For a detailed explanation with examples, read this free bet profit article.

3) After I have finished the Welcome Offers, how much money can I make matched betting each month (from existing customer offers)?
Anywhere from £100 to £1,000+ per month.
Bookmakers continue to run free bet offers to retain their customers, I refer to these as Daily Offers.
Daily Offers are typically less valuable than the welcome offers but still worth completing.
For example, rather than ‘Bet £5 Get £20’ that they offer to new customers, they may instead run ‘Bet £20 Get £10’ and on a particular football match.
I would say for people with a day job, aiming for between £300 to £500 a month is realistic. In terms of time required, for every hour you spend, you should make around £30 tax free.
So to make £300 a month, expect to spend around 2-3 hours a week. I’d say to earn more than this, you will likely need to accept a lower hourly rate and do some of the low value offers too.
If you are looking to make £1,000+, I’d expect you would have to be near full time and also be fortunate to keep your enough of your bookmaker accounts open for 12+ month period (what is mugging bet FAQ below).

4) What type of offers are available for existing customers?

Easy offers:
The most common easy offer on football matches is Bet £20 Get £10 free bet. Many bookmakers run this offer, though it will usually be on a particular football match.
The most common easy offer on horse racing is usually on SkyBet, who will run simple offers such as ‘Get £25 free bet if your horse comes 2nd or 3rd’.
There are also easy casino offers, such as ‘£5 risk free’, where you spin on slots and hope to win, if you don’t they’ll refund up to £5 of losses.
These offers can make you up to £300 per month (or £500 on a good month with European football) and are easy for those with a day job.

Harder offers:
If you are looking to make more than £300 to £500 a month, then you will need to spend time on Saturday’s completing horse racing offers on Channel 4 racing and during the week too, though Saturday’s are the most profitable.
Plus you will need to do more advanced offers such as football accumulator refunds, each way offers, though I will leave these aside given they could have their own separate thread :p
If you’d like to understand where you can learn more about these offers, see ‘Which sites teach matched betting?’ FAQ below.

BOOKMAKERS AND BETTING EXCHANGE

1) Which bookmakers have the best welcome offers?

There are 3 formats of bookmakers welcome offers.

‘Bet £X Get £Y free bet’ - these are the most straightforward. Simply place your first bet and receive a free bet.
This format of welcome offer, ranging from Bet £5 Get £20 to Bet £50 Get £50, is available on Coral, SkyBet, BetBright, Betfred, Paddy Power, BetStars, William Hill, Stan James, Betway, Ladbrokes, TitanBet, 32Red and MarathonBet.

‘Refunds’ (also known as Risk Free offers) - these are similar to Bet £X Get £Y free bet. The only difference is you only receive your free bet if your first bet loses, hence I refer to these offers are refund offers.
This format of welcome offer is, ranging from £10 to £50 refunds, is available on Bwin, Dafabet, UniBet, Totesport, 188Bet, SuperLenny, Genting and 888Sport.

‘Multi Bets’ - these welcome offers require multiple bets to be placed before receiving your reward. It can take form of a bonus which requires to bet £X amount until you can withdraw any winnings, or the form of a cash reward once you have bet £X amount.
This format of welcome offer is available on Bet365, BetVictor and some other bookmakers, however they often require such a large amount of betting that I haven’t included them in this list.
The quickest to complete are the Bet £X Get £Y due to their simplicity, then the next best are the ‘Refunds’ offers.
The Multi Bet offers can be very valuable (e.g. Bet£365’s offer is worth over £150 profit risk free) but can also require much larger deposits in order to place the bookmaker bets and lay these bets in your Exchange.

For details of each bookmaker offer, see this Welcome Offer List & Guides

2) Which bookmakers have the best offers for existing customers?

Bookmakers vary in their level of generosity to existing customers. This is a little subjective, but in my opinion, this is the ranking of bookmakers for existing customers:

Best: Bet365
Bet365 run a £50 Risk Free offer most months (sometimes twice a month during popular football months) which is worth £35. It is very quick to complete (less than 10 minutes) so for £35 to £70, or around £500 a year, it is a great offer.
Plus they have one of the best horse racing offers, up to a £50 risk free bet if your pick a winning horse with high odds. This is a profitable offer worth around £20-£30 a week, or up to £1,000 to £1,500 a year.

Second Best: SkyBet
SkyBet run regular £5 to £25 free bet offers on horse racing and football, plus regular £5 risk free offers in SkyVegas.

Third & Fourth Best: Coral and Paddy Power
Both these sites run regular horse racing, price boosts and football offers (Bet £20 Get £10 in particular), at least £20 to to be made on every week from these two sites.

Good: William Hill, Ladbrokes, BetStars, Stan James, Betway, Bwin, Betfred, Totesport, 188Bet, 888, BetVictor
All these bookmakers run offer(s) each week so it’s worth ensuring you have completed the welcome offer for each of these sites so you can take advantage of their daily offers for existing customers.

3) What is mug betting?
If you are only ever betting when you receive an offer, the bookmaker will no longer allow your account to receive free bet offers (this is known as being ‘gubbed’).
To get around this, you should place ‘mug’ bets. ‘Mug’ bets are simply bets that a ‘mug’ punter would place. Mug bets include £1 accumulators (betting on several teams to win) and betting on favourites without an offer.
Most advice suggests that for every offer you receive, you should place 2-3 mug bets.
If you are gubbed, it does kinda suck when you receive the email, as you can no longer profit from the bookmaker’s offers.
It is also becoming increasingly common as bookmakers are noticing more suspected matched bettors, due to its increasing popularity. My advice is to make money whilst you can and take sensible precautions to try to keep your account active.
For more details, see this Mug Betting article

4) What is a betting exchange?
A betting exchange is a marketplace for customers to bet between each other on the outcome of particular events. This differs from a traditional bookmaker because an exchange also gives you the ability to be the bookmaker yourself and take bets from other exchange users.
Standard bookmakers generate profit by offering odds that are in their favour. Betting exchanges explained in terms of how they generate revenue is they charge a commission on any winnings a player receives.
The two market leading betting exchanges are, Betfair and Smarkets.
For more details, Betting Exchanges Comparison.

5) How we use betting exchanges?
When matched betting, a betting exchange is used to place our lay bets (the opposite bet to our trigger bet). So when we place the trigger bet with the bookmaker on one outcome to release the initial free bet, we must also cover the opposite outcome so that if the bookmaker bet does lose we still win on the lay bet - making it risk free!
Similarly when we are placing the free bet bet with the bookmaker we then lay off that bet using the exchange and because we’re using a free bet but being paid out in cash, this is how we turn free bets into withdrawable cash.
We only ever use betting exchanges for lay bets.

ADDRESSING COMMON CONCERNS

1) How sustainable is matched betting?
Matched betting over the past 6-9 months has become harder. Most bookmakers have realised they are thousands of matched betters taking advantage of their offers and so have either reduced the generosity of their offers or have made the daily offers more complicated.
However, there is still intense competition between the bookmakers, meaning they will always run special offers to an extent.
By spending a few hours a week, you can still make £300 to £500 a month, whereas in past year(s) this figure could have been £500 to £800.
The biggest issue matched betters face is being ‘gubbed’. As explained in the mug betting FAQ, this is when a bookmaker restricts you from receiving free bets and bonuses.
There are various theories as to how a particular bookmaker decides to to gub a customer. Reasons include taking up too many offers, winning a high % of bets, withdrawing regularly, placing bets far in advance or at irregular times.
The truth is nobody really knows precisely why people gubbed. However, you can expect to get gubbed at some point from a particular bookmaker, it may be 2 months, it may be 2 years, it is hard to know.
I really think though that everyone can make up to £1,000 from the Welcome Offers and at least £300 to £500 a month without any problems. I think the issues comes when you are making £1,000+ every month which sooner or later bookmakers will catch up that you are taking up a lot of offers.
Having said this, some people say they have been making £1,000+ every month for years, so maybe it is possible if you are using a wide variety of bookmakers and consistently placing mug bets.

2) Will it impact my credit rating?
Having betting activity on your bank statement does not impact your credit rating.
The only thing to be wary of when making betting deposits and withdrawals is that it can affect your application for a mortgage. So if you’re planning on applying for a mortgage in the near future then I’d recommend using a separate bank account to that which you’ll be applying for the mortgage with.

3) Do the bookmakers have terms to stop customers from withdrawing?
The vast majority of welcome offers do not have any withdrawal restrictions.
A handful of welcome offers do but this will be state in the terms and conditions. It is much easier though to use a matched betting website as they will clearly highlight the key terms of each offer (see ‘Which websites teach matched betting’ section below).
Casino offers will almost always have withdrawal restrictions, however for the matched betting welcome offers we are focusing on sports betting.

4) Do I need to know about sports?
Not at all! You do not need a sports background or have any sort of betting knowledge, many matched betters do not know anything about sport or betting before learning matched betting.
You may learn matched betting a little faster if you have sports betting experience but it really isn't important at all.

WHICH WEBSITE TEACH MATCHED BETTING - YOUR OPTIONS

There are 30+ websites that three key stages to matched betting:
Stage 1) Learning matched betting
Stage 2) Completing the Welcome Offers (for new customers)
Stage 3) Profiting in the long term from Daily Offers (for existing customers)
Below I have tried to cover the main sites that will help you with each of these stages.

In summary, I may be biased :p but I think the:
Stage 1) and Stage 2) best approach is to use TeamProfit.com
Stage 3) Join a paid membership site, either OddsMonkey.com, ProfitAccumulator.co.uk or ProfitMaximiser.co.uk to continue to make money from the Daily Offers.

FREE SITES:

TeamProfit.com (link)
I really believe Team Profit is the best site to learn matched betting and complete the welcome offers, but compare us to the other sites and see what you think!
Learn matched betting with animated videos (link)
25+ Welcome Offers using the step by step guides (link)
A free Facebook group to provide help to you anytime you need (link).

MoneySavingExpert.com (link)
The advantage of MoneySavingExpert is the sheer volume of content, covering all aspects of matched betting.
The disadvantage of MoneySavingExpert it is not well structured as it is just one forum with a long lists of posts so it takes quite a while to find relevant threads and miss key information.

MatchedBettingBlog.com (link)
The advantage of MatchedBettingBlog is the clear layout of the daily offers posted each day for with step by step instructions. It’s a good site to check to avoid missing the best and easier daily offers. The forum community also helps to post additional offers on top of those listed on the homepage, and also provides general advice on completing daily offers.
The disadvantage of MatchedBettingBlog is it is relatively limited in terms of teaching matched betting and does not provide a clear list of welcome offers. Also, for those looking to make £500+ every month, it doesn’t provide any software to help with the more advanced types of matched betting with daily offers, such as horse racing refunds and accumulator refunds, that the paid member sites offer.
Additional free matched betting sites include:
Matchedbettingfree.co.uk (link) (Reddit thread link)
Freebets4all.com (link)

PAID SITES:

Paid sites usually charge £15 to £25 a month.
In return, they will teach matched betting, provide list of welcome offers and provide daily offers too. Additionally, most paid sites will also provide software that helps to make you more money plus save you time.

OddsMonkey.com (link | non)
OddsMonkey charge £15 per month or £150 per year.
They are the most well known provider of matched betting software. Earlier this year, they added the full range of matched betting services, so now they provide all of the below:
Tutorial articles
Welcome offer step by step guides
Daily offers calendar
Software: OddsMatcher, Horse Racing Refunds, Tennis Refunds, range of calculators and spreadsheet
Forum
The advantage of OddsMonkey is the exceptional value. They have the best range of software and tools for matched betters to maximise their profits, are consistently bringing up new tools at no added cost. At only £15 per month it is one of the best options to consider.
The only disadvantage is the forum is not as busy as the next two options, ProfitAccumulator and Profit Maximiser. Though the forum is still a sufficiently active to ensure any questions have you are answered quickly.

Profit Accumulator (Link - Chazmer87's I don't have one | non)
Profit Accumulator charge £23 per month or £150 per year
Profit Accumulator helped to bring matched betting to the main stream with a highly active community. There are clear similarities between OddsMonkey and Profit Accumulator in terms of their high standard of software and offers.
The advantage of Profit Accumulator is their very active community. There is a great deal of advice in virtually every aspect of matched betting and the information is all well structured. Plus they have a very good offers coverage.
The only disadvantage to Profit Accumulator is the higher cost. The membership itself is £23 per month, plus their version of the Horse Racing Refunds software is £10 per month, or £115 a year. So in total you are paying £33 per month versus OddsMonkey’s £15 per month.

Profit Maximiser (Link | non)
Profit Maximiser is run by the original matched betting guru Mike Cruickshank.
Mike has been building software for matched betters for many years and has a very active Facebook Group.
Each piece of software is sold separately, I believe the below is accurate, each have their own £1 free trials:
Bonus Bagging £27 plus VAT - provides a list of all welcome offers and teaching (Link | non)
Profit Maximiser £97 plus VAT - provides all daily offers (Link | non)
Each Way Sniper £47 plus VAT - provides a horse racing betting system (Link)
Accumulator Generator £149 plus VAT - provides a football betting system (Link)
I believe Mike may have a couple more tools, if so I’ll edit this post if you could please comment / send me a message.
The advantage of Mike’s products is that there is no monthly recurring fee, so if you intend to do this for many months, it may work out profitable to do so. Plus from what I understand their Facebook Group finds some lucrative casino loophole offers faster than other matched betting providers.
The disadvantage of Mike’s products is that you have to buy each product separately rather than having it all within one simple account. Additionally, the total cost if you were to buy all 4 above listed products is £320 + VAT (total cost £384) whereas you could receive all these tools for £15 per month from Oddsmonkey. Having said that, Mike’s products do come with a £1 free trial, just be careful to cancel before the trial ends if you don’t want to continue.
Additional free matched betting sites include: Yes Bets link
Pure Profit link

ADDITIONAL

1) Depositing and withdrawing
To ensure you qualify for the Welcome Offer, use a bank card to deposit into your newly set up bookmaker account. Most sites will allow Paypal too though check the terms and conditions.
If you use Skrill or Neteller, typically you will not qualify for the Welcome Offer (bookmakers have this rule to prevent fraud) but you can check the terms and conditions.
Withdrawing is easy, you should receive your funds within 1-3 working days depending on the bookmaker.

2) Sending identification documents
Occasionally, bookmakers may require to send in identification documents (passport or drivers licence for example) and a copy of your bank card. This is to prevent fraud. This usually happens if you are not listed on the Electoral Roll or there is a difference between your home address and billing address. Simply take a photo of the documents they ask for and email them back.

THAT COMPLETES THE MEGA FAQ GUIDE TO MATCHED BETTING!

If you have any questions, comments or suggestions, please do post a comment thanks!

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The Premier League is back this weekend, which means a resurgence in Match Betting. Here is my 3 Part Mega Guide to making £500 for several hours work, and then making £500- £1000 on a monthly basis.